EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Peru › Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco
Peruvian Liga 1Thu 8 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco prediction

Estadio 25 de Noviembre

Deportivo MoqueguaHome
1.51 : 1.71
expected goals
Cienciano del CuscoAway
33%Moquegua
24%Draw
42%Cienciano
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Cienciano del Cusco to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Moquegua 1.5, Cienciano del Cusco 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Moquegua 33%, the draw 24% and Cienciano del Cusco 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Moquegua took 3 points from their last 5 games and Cienciano del Cusco took 4 from 5. Cienciano del Cusco come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Moquegua won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Cienciano del Cusco won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Moquegua score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Cienciano del Cusco score 1.6 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Deportivo Moquegua games and 13 of Cienciano del Cusco games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Moquegua won 0 and Cienciano del Cusco won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cienciano del Cusco 2, Deportivo Moquegua 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Moqueguarecent form-4%
  • Ciencianorecent form-1%
Moquegua form L L L L WCienciano form L L W W LHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco: Cienciano del Cusco shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Moquegua host Cienciano del Cusco in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Thu 8 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Deportivo Moquegua form

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Cienciano del Cusco form

Cienciano del Cusco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Moquegua won 0, Cienciano del Cusco won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cienciano del Cusco 2, Deportivo Moquegua 1.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Moquegua to score about 1.5 goals and Cienciano del Cusco about 1.7. That points to Cienciano del Cusco to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.5 at 3.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MoqueguaCienciano
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws63
Losses108
Goals scored1931
Goals conceded2930
Scored per game0.91.6
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record2W 5D 3L6W 1D 3L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored50%60%
Over 2.5 goals55%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.60
Over 3.5 goals40%2.49
Both teams to score64%1.55
Deportivo Moquegua or Draw58%1.73
Cienciano del Cusco or Draw67%1.50
Deportivo Moquegua to win and Over 2.524%4.25
Cienciano del Cusco to win and Over 2.530%3.33
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet18%5.54
Cienciano del Cusco clean sheet22%4.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
1-28.8%
2-17.8%
2-26.7%
0-16.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco is Cienciano del Cusco to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Deportivo Moquegua to score 1.5 goals and Cienciano del Cusco 1.7.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Deportivo Moquegua last 20 games and 12 of Cienciano del Cusco last 20.

How are Deportivo Moquegua playing?

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Cienciano del Cusco playing?

Cienciano del Cusco have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Moquegua and Cienciano del Cusco last met?

It ended Cienciano del Cusco 2, Deportivo Moquegua 1. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Moquegua won 0 and Cienciano del Cusco won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Moquegua vs Cienciano del Cusco?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Moquegua against Cienciano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.