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Predictions › Peru › Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 Peru time

Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas prediction

Estadio 25 de Noviembre

Deportivo MoqueguaHome
1.45 : 0.98
expected goals
Los ChankasAway
47%Moquegua
28%Draw
25%Los Chankas
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Moquegua to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Deportivo Moquegua to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Moquegua 1.4, Los Chankas 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.531 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Moquegua 47%, the draw 28% and Los Chankas 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Moquegua took 3 points from their last 5 games and Los Chankas took 5 from 5. Los Chankas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Moquegua won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Los Chankas won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Moquegua score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Los Chankas score 1.0 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Deportivo Moquegua games and 11 of Los Chankas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Moquegua won 0 and Los Chankas won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Los Chankas 1, Deportivo Moquegua 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Moqueguarecent form-4%
  • Los Chankasrecent form-6%
Moquegua form L L L L WLos Chankas form D L L L LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas: Deportivo Moquegua are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Moquegua host Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sat 31 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio 25 de Noviembre. Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Moquegua to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Deportivo Moquegua form

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Moquegua won 0, Los Chankas won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Los Chankas 1, Deportivo Moquegua 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Moquegua to score about 1.4 goals and Los Chankas about 1.0. That points to Deportivo Moquegua to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.53.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MoqueguaLos Chankas
Games played2020
Wins46
Draws65
Losses109
Goals scored1720
Goals conceded2836
Scored per game0.81.0
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record2W 5D 3L6W 1D 4L
Away record2W 1D 7L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.29
Over 3.5 goals23%4.41
Both teams to score49%2.06
Deportivo Moquegua or Draw75%1.33
Los Chankas or Draw53%1.89
Deportivo Moquegua to win and Over 2.526%3.87
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.513%7.90
Deportivo Moquegua clean sheet38%2.66
Los Chankas clean sheet24%4.25

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-012.0%
0-09.6%
2-09.2%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas?

Our prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas is Deportivo Moquegua to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Moquegua to score 1.4 goals and Los Chankas 1.0.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Moquegua last 20 games and 9 of Los Chankas last 20.

How are Deportivo Moquegua playing?

Deportivo Moquegua have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Moquegua and Los Chankas last met?

It ended Los Chankas 1, Deportivo Moquegua 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Moquegua won 0 and Los Chankas won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Moquegua vs Los Chankas?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Moquegua against Los Chankas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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