Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali

Colombian Primera ASun 8 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali prediction

Hernán Ramirez Villegas

Deportivo PereiraHome

0.86 : 1.42

expected goals

América de CaliAway

22%Pereira

29%Draw

49%América Cali

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: América de Cali to win
Chance: 49%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira 0.9, América de Cali 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

América de Cali to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Pereira 22%, the draw 29% and América de Cali 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Pereira took 6 points from their last 5 games and América de Cali took 10 from 5. América de Cali come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Pereira won 2 of their last 10 games at home. América de Cali won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. América de Cali score 1.6 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Deportivo Pereira games and 9 of América de Cali games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and América de Cali won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended América de Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

América Calirecent form+1%

Pereira form D W D D LAmérica Cali form D W D L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali: América de Cali are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host América de Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 8 Nov, 20:30 at Hernán Ramirez Villegas. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, L, newest first.

América de Cali form

América de Cali have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, América de Cali won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished América de Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 0.9 goals and América de Cali about 1.4. That points to América de Cali to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is América de Cali to win and Over 2.5 at 3.98.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Pereira	América Cali
Games played	20	20
Wins	3	11
Draws	9	5
Losses	8	4
Goals scored	14	33
Goals conceded	25	18
Scored per game	0.7	1.6
Conceded per game	1.3	0.9
Home record	2W 4D 4L	7W 1D 2L
Away record	1W 5D 4L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	35%	40%
Both teams scored	40%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	35%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 2.5 goals	40%	2.50
Over 3.5 goals	20%	5.06
Both teams to score	45%	2.24
Deportivo Pereira or Draw	51%	1.98
América de Cali or Draw	78%	1.28
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.81
América de Cali to win and Over 2.5	25%	3.94
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet	24%	4.15
América de Cali clean sheet	42%	2.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.7%

1-113.2%

0-010.9%

0-210.3%

1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali is América de Cali to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 0.9 goals and América de Cali 1.4.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 9 of América de Cali last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

How are América de Cali playing?

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and América de Cali last met?

It ended América de Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Pereira won 0 and América de Cali won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against América Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.