Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga

Colombian Primera ASun 13 Sept, 19:00 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga prediction

Deportivo Cali

Deportivo PereiraHome

0.86 : 1.47

expected goals

Atlético BucaramangaAway

21%Pereira

28%Draw

51%Bucaramanga

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Atlético Bucaramanga to win
Chance: 51%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Deportivo Pereira 0.9, Atlético Bucaramanga 1.5
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1

14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Deportivo Pereira 21%, the draw 28% and Atlético Bucaramanga 51%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Bucaramanga the favourite at 1.74.
2
Recent form
Deportivo Pereira took 6 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Bucaramanga took 7 from 5. Atlético Bucaramanga come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 8 games at home. Atlético Bucaramanga won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.5. Atlético Bucaramanga score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Deportivo Pereira games and 8 of Atlético Bucaramanga games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Bucaramanga 3, Deportivo Pereira 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Pereirarecent form-1%
Bucaramangarecent form+1%

Pereira form L D L W DBucaramanga form D D W D DHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga: Atlético Bucaramanga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host Atlético Bucaramanga in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 at Deportivo Cali. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, D, newest first.

Atlético Bucaramanga form

Atlético Bucaramanga have 5 wins, 9 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, Atlético Bucaramanga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Bucaramanga 3, Deportivo Pereira 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 0.9 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga about 1.5. That points to Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Pereira	Bucaramanga
Games played	20	20
Wins	2	5
Draws	8	9
Losses	10	6
Goals scored	14	23
Goals conceded	30	21
Scored per game	0.7	1.1
Conceded per game	1.5	1.1
Home record	1W 4D 3L	2W 6D 1L
Away record	1W 4D 7L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	35%
Both teams scored	40%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Deportivo Pereira to win	20%	5.10	4.40	-13.8%
A Draw	26%	3.78	3.55	-6.0%
Atlético Bucaramanga to win	50%	2.02	1.74	-13.7%
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.58	2.20	-14.8%
Under 2.5 goals	59%	1.70	1.61	-5.6%
Deportivo Pereira +0.5	45%	2.23	2.00	-10.2%
Atlético Bucaramanga -0.5	53%	1.90	1.69	-11.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	68%	1.47
Over 2.5 goals	41%	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	21%	4.86
Both teams to score	45%	2.22
Deportivo Pereira or Draw	49%	2.03
Atlético Bucaramanga or Draw	79%	1.27
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.96
Atlético Bucaramanga to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.76
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet	23%	4.33
Atlético Bucaramanga clean sheet	42%	2.36

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.6%

1-113.1%

0-010.5%

0-210.5%

1-29.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga is Atlético Bucaramanga to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 0.9 goals and Atlético Bucaramanga 1.5.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 10 of Atlético Bucaramanga last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

How are Atlético Bucaramanga playing?

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and Atlético Bucaramanga last met?

It ended Atlético Bucaramanga 3, Deportivo Pereira 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Atlético Bucaramanga won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Bucaramanga?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against Bucaramanga. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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