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Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera ATue 3 Nov, 20:30 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima prediction

Hernán Ramirez Villegas

Deportivo PereiraHome
0.92 : 1.39
expected goals
Deportes TolimaAway
24%Pereira
29%Draw
47%Tolima
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Deportes Tolima to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Pereira 0.9, Deportes Tolima 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.431 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Pereira 24%, the draw 29% and Deportes Tolima 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Pereira took 5 points from their last 5 games and Deportes Tolima took 3 from 5. Deportivo Pereira come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Pereira won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Deportes Tolima won 2 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Deportes Tolima score 1.0 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Deportivo Pereira games and 12 of Deportes Tolima games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Deportes Tolima won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportes Tolima 2, Deportivo Pereira 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pereirarecent form-3%
  • Tolimarecent form-1%
Pereira form D D D L LTolima form D L D D DHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: Deportes Tolima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host Deportes Tolima in the Colombian Primera A on Tue 3 Nov, 20:30 at Hernán Ramirez Villegas. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Deportes Tolima form

Deportes Tolima have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, Deportes Tolima won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportes Tolima 2, Deportivo Pereira 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 0.9 goals and Deportes Tolima about 1.4. That points to Deportes Tolima to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.43.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PereiraTolima
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws86
Losses99
Goals scored1320
Goals conceded2528
Scored per game0.71.0
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record2W 4D 4L3W 3D 2L
Away record1W 4D 5L2W 3D 7L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored35%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals68%1.48
Over 2.5 goals41%2.47
Over 3.5 goals20%4.96
Both teams to score46%2.18
Deportivo Pereira or Draw53%1.89
Deportes Tolima or Draw76%1.32
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.511%8.73
Deportes Tolima to win and Over 2.524%4.10
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet25%4.01
Deportes Tolima clean sheet40%2.50

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-113.1%
0-010.7%
0-29.6%
1-28.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima is Deportes Tolima to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 0.9 goals and Deportes Tolima 1.4.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 12 of Deportes Tolima last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Deportes Tolima playing?

Deportes Tolima have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima last met?

It ended Deportes Tolima 2, Deportivo Pereira 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Deportes Tolima won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against Tolima. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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