Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera ASun 11 Oct, 19:00 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali prediction

Deportivo PereiraHome
0.73 : 1.70
expected goals
Deportivo CaliAway
15%Pereira
25%Draw
60%Cali
Eagle safe pickDeportivo Cali or Draw
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Pereira 0.7, Deportivo Cali 1.7
Best bet
Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Deportivo Cali or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Pereira 15%, the draw 25% and Deportivo Cali 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Pereira took 3 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Cali took 13 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Deportivo Cali won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Deportivo Cali score 1.3 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Deportivo Pereira games and 5 of Deportivo Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportivo Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Deportivo Cali or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pereirarecent form-4%
  • Calirecent form+6%
  • Pereirarest between games-2%
Pereira form L D D L LCali form W W W W DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali: Deportivo Cali are favourites

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host Deportivo Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 11 Oct, 19:00. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, Deportivo Cali won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 0.7 goals and Deportivo Cali about 1.7. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21. Our bold bet is Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PereiraCali
Games played2020
Wins210
Draws86
Losses104
Goals scored1426
Goals conceded2614
Scored per game0.71.3
Conceded per game1.30.7
Home record1W 4D 5L5W 4D 0L
Away record1W 4D 5L5W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored40%45%
Over 2.5 goals40%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.39
Both teams to score43%2.33
Deportivo Pereira or Draw40%2.51
Deportivo Cali or Draw85%1.18
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.57%14.53
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.533%3.03
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet18%5.50
Deportivo Cali clean sheet48%2.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.3%
0-212.8%
1-111.5%
0-09.5%
1-29.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 0.7 goals and Deportivo Cali 1.7.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali last met?

It ended Deportivo Cali 1, Deportivo Pereira 0. In the last 2 meetings Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 2.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali?

Deportivo Cali or Draw at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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