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Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera ASat 26 Sept, 21:10 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá prediction

Deportivo PereiraHome
1.37 : 1.54
expected goals
Internacional de BogotáAway
33%Pereira
26%Draw
41%Inter Bogotá
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Internacional de Bogotá to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Pereira 1.4, Internacional de Bogotá 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Pereira 33%, the draw 26% and Internacional de Bogotá 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Pereira took 5 points from their last 5 games and Internacional de Bogotá took 7 from 5. Internacional de Bogotá come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Pereira won 1 of their last 9 games at home. Internacional de Bogotá won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Internacional de Bogotá score 1.2 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Deportivo Pereira games and 12 of Internacional de Bogotá games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Internacional de Bogotá won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Internacional de Bogotá 2, Deportivo Pereira 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Home edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá: Internacional de Bogotá shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host Internacional de Bogotá in the Colombian Primera A on Sat 26 Sept, 21:10. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Internacional de Bogotá form

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, Internacional de Bogotá won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional de Bogotá 2, Deportivo Pereira 2.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 1.4 goals and Internacional de Bogotá about 1.5. That points to Internacional de Bogotá to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PereiraInter Bogotá
Games played2020
Wins24
Draws78
Losses118
Goals scored1424
Goals conceded3234
Scored per game0.71.2
Conceded per game1.61.7
Home record1W 4D 4L4W 4D 3L
Away record1W 3D 7L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.00
Both teams to score59%1.69
Deportivo Pereira or Draw59%1.69
Internacional de Bogotá or Draw67%1.50
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.521%4.67
Internacional de Bogotá to win and Over 2.527%3.76
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet21%4.66
Internacional de Bogotá clean sheet25%3.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-28.8%
2-17.9%
0-17.7%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá is Internacional de Bogotá to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 1.4 goals and Internacional de Bogotá 1.5.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 13 of Internacional de Bogotá last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

Deportivo Pereira have 2 wins, 7 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Internacional de Bogotá playing?

Internacional de Bogotá have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and Internacional de Bogotá last met?

It ended Internacional de Bogotá 2, Deportivo Pereira 2. In the last 2 meetings Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Internacional de Bogotá won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Internacional de Bogotá?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against Inter Bogotá. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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