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Predictions › Colombia › Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera AFri 30 Oct, 23:00 Colombia time

Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba prediction

Deportivo PereiraHome
1.42 : 1.11
expected goals
Jaguares de CórdobaAway
43%Pereira
28%Draw
29%Jaguares
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Deportivo Pereira to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Deportivo Pereira to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Pereira 1.4, Jaguares de Córdoba 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Pereira 43%, the draw 28% and Jaguares de Córdoba 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Pereira took 5 points from their last 5 games and Jaguares de Córdoba took 3 from 5. Deportivo Pereira come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Pereira won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Jaguares de Córdoba won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Pereira score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Jaguares de Córdoba score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Deportivo Pereira games and 12 of Jaguares de Córdoba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pereirarecent form-3%
  • Jaguaresrecent form-3%
  • Pereirarest between games-5%
Pereira form D D D L LJaguares form D W L L LHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba: Deportivo Pereira shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Pereira host Jaguares de Córdoba in the Colombian Primera A on Fri 30 Oct, 23:00. Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Deportivo Pereira to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Deportivo Pereira form

Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Jaguares de Córdoba form

Jaguares de Córdoba have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Pereira won 0, Jaguares de Córdoba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Deportivo Pereira 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Pereira to score about 1.4 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba about 1.1. That points to Deportivo Pereira to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PereiraJaguares
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws86
Losses910
Goals scored1325
Goals conceded2537
Scored per game0.71.3
Conceded per game1.31.9
Home record2W 4D 4L4W 4D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L0W 2D 7L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored35%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.15
Over 3.5 goals25%4.01
Both teams to score52%1.94
Deportivo Pereira or Draw71%1.40
Jaguares de Córdoba or Draw57%1.76
Deportivo Pereira to win and Over 2.525%4.04
Jaguares de Córdoba to win and Over 2.516%6.35
Deportivo Pereira clean sheet33%3.04
Jaguares de Córdoba clean sheet24%4.14

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.3%
1-010.5%
2-18.9%
0-08.7%
0-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Our prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba is Deportivo Pereira to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Deportivo Pereira to score 1.4 goals and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Deportivo Pereira last 20 games and 13 of Jaguares de Córdoba last 20.

How are Deportivo Pereira playing?

Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 13 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Jaguares de Córdoba playing?

Jaguares de Córdoba have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares de Córdoba last met?

It ended Jaguares de Córdoba 1, Deportivo Pereira 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Pereira won 0 and Jaguares de Córdoba won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares de Córdoba?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pereira against Jaguares. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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