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Predictions › Argentina › Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 5 Oct, 19:45 Argentina time

Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) prediction

Guillermo Laza

Deportivo RiestraHome
1.23 : 0.68
expected goals
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)Away
49%Riestra
32%Draw
20%C. Córdoba (SE)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Deportivo Riestra to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Deportivo Riestra 1.2, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
35%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
18% chanceFair price 5.701 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Riestra 49%, the draw 32% and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Deportivo Riestra the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Riestra took 4 points from their last 5 games and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) took 2 from 5. Deportivo Riestra come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Riestra won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Riestra score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.8. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Deportivo Riestra games and 8 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Deportivo Riestra 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Riestrarecent form-3%
  • C. Córdoba (SE)recent form-4%
Riestra form D L L D DC. Córdoba (SE) form D L L D LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): Deportivo Riestra are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Riestra host Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 5 Oct, 19:45 at Guillermo Laza. Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) form

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Deportivo Riestra won 1, Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Deportivo Riestra 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Riestra to score about 1.2 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) about 0.7. That points to Deportivo Riestra to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.70.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RiestraC. Córdoba (SE)
Games played2020
Wins35
Draws94
Losses811
Goals scored1117
Goals conceded1730
Scored per game0.60.8
Conceded per game0.81.5
Home record3W 4D 3L4W 1D 5L
Away record0W 5D 5L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored20%40%
Over 2.5 goals15%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Deportivo Riestra to win46%2.191.87-14.8%
A Draw30%3.323.05-8.2%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win19%5.144.50-12.4%
Over 1.5 goals57%1.761.51-14.0%
Under 1.5 goals37%2.692.35-12.6%
Deportivo Riestra -0.547%2.141.80-15.8%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) +0.547%2.131.83-13.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.74
Over 2.5 goals30%3.37
Over 3.5 goals13%7.95
Both teams to score35%2.82
Deportivo Riestra or Draw80%1.25
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or Draw51%1.95
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.520%5.02
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win and Over 2.57%14.35
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet51%1.97
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet29%3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-017.6%
0-015.7%
1-113.1%
2-011.2%
0-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Deportivo Riestra to score 1.2 goals and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0.7.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Both teams to score has a 35% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of Deportivo Riestra last 20 games and 8 of Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last 20.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) playing?

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Riestra and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) last met?

It ended Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1, Deportivo Riestra 0. In the last 2 meetings Deportivo Riestra won 1 and Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Riestra vs Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Riestra against C. Córdoba (SE). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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