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Predictions › Argentina › Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalTue 20 Oct, 00:15 Argentina time

Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe) prediction

Guillermo Laza

Deportivo RiestraHome
1.27 : 0.93
expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe)Away
43%Riestra
30%Draw
26%Unión (SF)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Deportivo Riestra to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Deportivo Riestra 1.3, Unión (Santa Fe) 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Deportivo Riestra 43%, the draw 30% and Unión (Santa Fe) 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Deportivo Riestra took 4 points from their last 5 games and Unión (Santa Fe) took 3 from 5. Deportivo Riestra come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Deportivo Riestra won 3 of their last 11 games at home. Unión (Santa Fe) won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Deportivo Riestra score 0.6 goals a game and let in 0.9. Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Deportivo Riestra games and 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Deportivo Riestra won 0 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Deportivo Riestra 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Riestrarecent form-3%
  • Unión (SF)recent form-3%
  • Unión (SF)rest between games-5%
Riestra form D D L L DUnión (SF) form D L L L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe): Deportivo Riestra shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Deportivo Riestra host Unión (Santa Fe) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Tue 20 Oct, 00:15 at Guillermo Laza. Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Deportivo Riestra form

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Deportivo Riestra won 0, Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Deportivo Riestra 0.

Our call

We expect Deportivo Riestra to score about 1.3 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) about 0.9. That points to Deportivo Riestra to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

RiestraUnión (SF)
Games played2020
Wins36
Draws93
Losses811
Goals scored1227
Goals conceded1834
Scored per game0.61.4
Conceded per game0.91.7
Home record3W 5D 3L4W 1D 4L
Away record0W 4D 5L2W 2D 7L
Clean sheets40%5%
Both teams scored25%65%
Over 2.5 goals15%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%1.53
Over 2.5 goals38%2.64
Over 3.5 goals18%5.49
Both teams to score44%2.25
Deportivo Riestra or Draw74%1.36
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw57%1.77
Deportivo Riestra to win and Over 2.521%4.70
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.512%8.21
Deportivo Riestra clean sheet39%2.54
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet28%3.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-013.2%
0-011.8%
0-19.5%
2-08.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Our prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Deportivo Riestra to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Deportivo Riestra to score 1.3 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) 0.9.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Deportivo Riestra last 20 games and 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20.

How are Deportivo Riestra playing?

Deportivo Riestra have 3 wins, 9 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Deportivo Riestra and Unión (Santa Fe) last met?

It ended Unión (Santa Fe) 2, Deportivo Riestra 0. In the last 1 meeting Deportivo Riestra won 0 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 1.

What is the best bet for Deportivo Riestra vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Riestra against Unión (SF). A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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