Predictions › United States › Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves
NBAWed 14 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction

Target Center

Detroit PistonsAway
111.7 : 109.5
projected points
Minnesota TimberwolvesHome
60%Pistons
40%Timberwolves
Eagle safe pickTimberwolves +10.5
-307

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 111.7 and Minnesota Timberwolves 109.5. Our best bet is Timberwolves +10.5 at -307.

Prediction
Detroit Pistons to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Detroit Pistons 112, Minnesota Timberwolves 110
Projected total
221.2 points
Best bet
Timberwolves +10.5 at -307

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Timberwolves +10.5
75% chanceFair price -3072 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Timberwolves to win
40% chanceFair price +1481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Minnesota Timberwolves 40% and Detroit Pistons 60%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 1 of their last 5 and Detroit Pistons won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Minnesota Timberwolves won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Detroit Pistons won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Minnesota Timberwolves score 112.7 points a game and let in 115.3. Detroit Pistons score 109.7 and let in 105.1. Their recent games average 228.1 and 214.8 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Minnesota Timberwolves won 0 and Detroit Pistons won 2. The last one ended Detroit Pistons 113, Minnesota Timberwolves 108.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Timberwolves +10.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Timberwolvesrest between games-3%
  • Pistonsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves: Detroit Pistons are favourites

The big picture

Minnesota Timberwolves host Detroit Pistons in the NBA on Wed 14 Oct, 20:00 at Target Center. Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 111.7 and Minnesota Timberwolves 109.5. Our best bet is Timberwolves +10.5 at -307.

Minnesota Timberwolves form

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Detroit Pistons form

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2102 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Minnesota Timberwolves won 0, Detroit Pistons won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Pistons 113, Minnesota Timberwolves 108.

Our call

We expect Detroit Pistons to score about 111.7 points and Minnesota Timberwolves about 109.5. That points to Detroit Pistons to win. Our safest bet is Timberwolves +10.5 at -307. Our bold bet is Timberwolves to win at +148.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TimberwolvesPistons
Games played2020
Wins1012
Losses108
Points scored22542193
Points conceded23072102
Scored per game112.7109.7
Conceded per game115.3105.1
Home record5W 3L7W 3L
Away record5W 7L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Timberwolves spreadCoversFair
Timberwolves -3.533%+207
Timberwolves -0.542%+140
Timberwolves +2.551%-104
Timberwolves +5.561%-153
Timberwolves +8.569%-227
Total pointsOverUnder
215.562%38%
218.556%44%
221.549%51%
224.543%57%
227.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Timberwolves +3.5 wins if Timberwolves win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Our prediction for Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves is Detroit Pistons to win, with a 60% chance. We project Detroit Pistons 111.7 and Minnesota Timberwolves 109.5. Our best bet is Timberwolves +10.5 at -307.

What is the projected score for Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

We project Detroit Pistons 111.7 and Minnesota Timberwolves 109.5, about 221.2 points in total.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves playing?

Minnesota Timberwolves have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 2254 points scored and 2307 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Detroit Pistons playing?

Detroit Pistons have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 2193 points scored and 2102 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Minnesota Timberwolves and Detroit Pistons last met?

It ended Detroit Pistons 113, Minnesota Timberwolves 108. In the last 2 meetings Minnesota Timberwolves won 0 and Detroit Pistons won 2.

What is the best bet for Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves?

Timberwolves +10.5 at -307, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Timberwolves against Pistons. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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