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Predictions › United States › Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames
NHLSat 24 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Detroit Red WingsAway
2.8 : 2.6
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
54%Red Wings
46%Flames
Eagle safe pickFlames +2
-380

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.8 and Calgary Flames 2.6. Our best bet is Flames +2 at -380.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Detroit Red Wings 3, Calgary Flames 3
Projected total
5.3 goals
Best bet
Flames +2 at -380

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Flames +2
79% chanceFair price -3802 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 46% and Detroit Red Wings 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 1 of their last 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.5 goals a game and let in 4.0. Detroit Red Wings score 2.8 and let in 3.8. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Calgary Flames won 0 and Detroit Red Wings won 2. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 5, Calgary Flames 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Flames +2 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-5%
  • Red Wingsrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames: Detroit Red Wings shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.8 and Calgary Flames 2.6. Our best bet is Flames +2 at -380.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 79 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 0, Detroit Red Wings won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 5, Calgary Flames 2.

Our call

We expect Detroit Red Wings to score about 2.8 goals and Calgary Flames about 2.6. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Flames +2 at -380.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesRed Wings
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Goals scored5155
Goals conceded7976
Scored per game2.52.8
Conceded per game4.03.8
Home record4W 5L3W 9L
Away record2W 9L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -0.539%+158
Flames +0.555%-123
Flames +1.571%-243
Total goalsOverUnder
4.564%36%
5.547%53%
6.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.8 and Calgary Flames 2.6. Our best bet is Flames +2 at -380.

What is the projected score for Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames?

We project Detroit Red Wings 2.8 and Calgary Flames 2.6, about 5.3 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 51 goals scored and 79 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 76 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Detroit Red Wings last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 5, Calgary Flames 2. In the last 2 meetings Calgary Flames won 0 and Detroit Red Wings won 2.

What is the best bet for Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames?

Flames +2 at -380, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Red Wings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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