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Predictions › United States › Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens
NHLSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens prediction

Bell Centre

Detroit Red WingsAway
2.9 : 2.9
projected goals
Montreal CanadiensHome
52%Red Wings
48%Canadiens
Eagle safe pickRed Wings +2
-402

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 2.9. Our best bet is Red Wings +2 at -402.

Prediction
Detroit Red Wings to win
Chance
52%
Projected score
Detroit Red Wings 3, Montreal Canadiens 3
Projected total
5.8 goals
Best bet
Red Wings +2 at -402

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Red Wings +2
80% chanceFair price -4022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Montreal Canadiens 48% and Detroit Red Wings 52%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 2 of their last 5. Montreal Canadiens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Montreal Canadiens won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Montreal Canadiens score 3.0 goals a game and let in 2.9. Detroit Red Wings score 3.0 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 5.9 and 6.5 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Detroit Red Wings won 2. The last one ended Detroit Red Wings 3, Montreal Canadiens 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Red Wings +2 has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canadiensrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens: Detroit Red Wings shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Montreal Canadiens host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at Bell Centre. Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 2.9. Our best bet is Red Wings +2 at -402.

Montreal Canadiens form

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Montreal Canadiens won 1, Detroit Red Wings won 2. Last time out it finished Detroit Red Wings 3, Montreal Canadiens 1.

Our call

We expect Detroit Red Wings to score about 2.9 goals and Montreal Canadiens about 2.9. That points to Detroit Red Wings to win. Our safest bet is Red Wings +2 at -402.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanadiensRed Wings
Games played2020
Wins117
Losses913
Goals scored6160
Goals conceded5771
Scored per game3.03.0
Conceded per game2.93.5
Home record4W 5L4W 7L
Away record7W 4L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Canadiens spreadCoversFair
Canadiens -1.527%+267
Canadiens -0.543%+135
Canadiens +0.559%-144
Total goalsOverUnder
4.571%29%
5.555%45%
6.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canadiens +3.5 wins if Canadiens win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens?

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens is Detroit Red Wings to win, with a 52% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 2.9. Our best bet is Red Wings +2 at -402.

What is the projected score for Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens?

We project Detroit Red Wings 2.9 and Montreal Canadiens 2.9, about 5.8 goals in total.

How are Montreal Canadiens playing?

Montreal Canadiens have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 57 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 60 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Montreal Canadiens and Detroit Red Wings last met?

It ended Detroit Red Wings 3, Montreal Canadiens 1. In the last 3 meetings Montreal Canadiens won 1 and Detroit Red Wings won 2.

What is the best bet for Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens?

Red Wings +2 at -402, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canadiens against Red Wings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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