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Predictions › United States › Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLTue 22 Sept, 19:00 United States time

Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Detroit Red WingsAway
3.0 : 3.3
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
44%Red Wings
56%Penguins
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-427

Quick answer

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 3.0 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -427.

Prediction
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
Detroit Red Wings 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Projected total
6.3 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -427

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
81% chanceFair price -4272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Red Wings to win
43% chanceFair price +1331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 56% and Detroit Red Wings 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 2 of their last 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 1 of their last 5. Pittsburgh Penguins come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Detroit Red Wings won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.7. Detroit Red Wings score 2.8 and let in 3.5. Their recent games average 7.2 and 6.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 0. The last one ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Detroit Red Wings 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-3%
  • Red Wingsrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Detroit Red Wings in the NHL on Tue 22 Sept, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 3.0 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -427.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Detroit Red Wings form

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 5, Detroit Red Wings won 0. Last time out it finished Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Detroit Red Wings 1.

Our call

We expect Detroit Red Wings to score about 3.0 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.3. That points to Pittsburgh Penguins to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -427. Our bold bet is Red Wings to win at +133.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsRed Wings
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Goals scored6956
Goals conceded7471
Scored per game3.52.8
Conceded per game3.73.5
Home record5W 6L3W 7L
Away record4W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -1.530%+229
Penguins -0.546%+117
Penguins +0.563%-167
Total goalsOverUnder
5.564%36%
6.547%53%
7.531%69%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Pittsburgh Penguins to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Detroit Red Wings 3.0 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -427.

What is the projected score for Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Detroit Red Wings 3.0 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.3, about 6.3 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 69 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Detroit Red Wings playing?

Detroit Red Wings have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 71 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Detroit Red Wings last met?

It ended Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Detroit Red Wings 1. In the last 5 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 5 and Detroit Red Wings won 0.

What is the best bet for Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Under 8 goals at -427, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Red Wings. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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