Predictions › France › Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron
Ligue 2Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 France time

Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron prediction

Stade Gaston-Gérard

Dijon FCOHome
2.07 : 1.69
expected goals
Rodez AveyronAway
47%Dijon FCO
22%Draw
31%Rodez Aveyron
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.36

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron is Dijon FCO to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.36.

Prediction
Dijon FCO to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dijon FCO 2.1, Rodez Aveyron 1.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.36
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.361 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dijon FCO to win and Over 2.5
36% chanceFair price 2.741 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dijon FCO 47%, the draw 22% and Rodez Aveyron 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dijon FCO took 10 points from their last 5 games and Rodez Aveyron took 1 from 5. Dijon FCO come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dijon FCO won 2 of their last 4 games at home. Rodez Aveyron won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dijon FCO score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.5. Rodez Aveyron score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Dijon FCO games and 11 of Rodez Aveyron games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dijon FCOrecent form+1%
  • Rodez Aveyronrecent form-4%
  • Dijon FCOrest between games-5%
Dijon FCO form D W W D LRodez Aveyron form D L L L DHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron: Dijon FCO are favourites

The big picture

Dijon FCO host Rodez Aveyron in the Ligue 2 on Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 at Stade Gaston-Gérard. Our prediction for Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron is Dijon FCO to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.36.

Dijon FCO form

Dijon FCO have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 14 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Rodez Aveyron form

Rodez Aveyron have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Dijon FCO to score about 2.1 goals and Rodez Aveyron about 1.7. That points to Dijon FCO to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.36. Our bold bet is Dijon FCO to win and Over 2.5 at 2.74.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Dijon FCORodez Aveyron
Games played820
Wins310
Draws35
Losses25
Goals scored1431
Goals conceded1227
Scored per game1.81.6
Conceded per game1.51.4
Home record2W 0D 2L6W 2D 2L
Away record1W 3D 0L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored88%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%1.93
Both teams to score72%1.40
Dijon FCO or Draw69%1.46
Rodez Aveyron or Draw53%1.87
Dijon FCO to win and Over 2.537%2.69
Rodez Aveyron to win and Over 2.525%4.06
Dijon FCO clean sheet19%5.40
Rodez Aveyron clean sheet13%7.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.7%
2-18.4%
2-27.1%
1-26.9%
3-15.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron?

Our prediction for Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron is Dijon FCO to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.36.

What is the score prediction for Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Dijon FCO to score 2.1 goals and Rodez Aveyron 1.7.

Will both teams score in Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Dijon FCO last 8 games and 13 of Rodez Aveyron last 20.

How are Dijon FCO playing?

Dijon FCO have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 8 games, with 14 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Rodez Aveyron playing?

Rodez Aveyron have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Dijon FCO vs Rodez Aveyron?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dijon FCO against Rodez Aveyron. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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