EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Europa League › Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht
Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht prediction

Maksimir Stadium

Dinamo ZagrebHome
1.72 : 1.16
expected goals
AnderlechtAway
50%Dinamo Zagreb
25%Draw
25%Anderlecht
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht is Dinamo Zagreb to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dinamo Zagreb 1.7, Anderlecht 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dinamo Zagreb 50%, the draw 25% and Anderlecht 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Dinamo Zagreb the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dinamo Zagreb took 5 points from their last 5 games and Anderlecht took 10 from 5. Anderlecht come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dinamo Zagreb won 2 of their last 5 games at home. Anderlecht won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dinamo Zagreb score 1.5 goals a game and let in 2.0. Anderlecht score 1.3 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Dinamo Zagreb games and 13 of Anderlecht games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dinamo Zagrebrecent form+1%
  • Anderlechtrecent form+3%
Dinamo Zagreb form D L D W WAnderlecht form W L W D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht: Dinamo Zagreb are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dinamo Zagreb host Anderlecht in the Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Maksimir Stadium. Our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht is Dinamo Zagreb to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Dinamo Zagreb form

Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Anderlecht form

Anderlecht have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Dinamo Zagreb to score about 1.7 goals and Anderlecht about 1.2. That points to Dinamo Zagreb to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.5 at 3.15.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Dinamo ZagrebAnderlecht
Games played1120
Wins37
Draws33
Losses510
Goals scored1626
Goals conceded2234
Scored per game1.51.3
Conceded per game2.01.7
Home record2W 0D 3L5W 2D 4L
Away record1W 3D 2L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets9%20%
Both teams scored64%60%
Over 2.5 goals73%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Dinamo Zagreb to win47%2.131.91-10.3%
A Draw25%4.033.60-10.7%
Anderlecht to win25%4.053.85-4.9%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.961.74-11.1%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.302.00-13.2%
Dinamo Zagreb -0.548%2.091.77-15.5%
Anderlecht +0.547%2.141.83-14.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.07
Both teams to score57%1.75
Dinamo Zagreb or Draw75%1.33
Anderlecht or Draw50%1.99
Dinamo Zagreb to win and Over 2.532%3.08
Anderlecht to win and Over 2.515%6.48
Dinamo Zagreb clean sheet31%3.19
Anderlecht clean sheet18%5.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.6%
1-09.0%
2-08.3%
1-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Our prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht is Dinamo Zagreb to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Dinamo Zagreb to score 1.7 goals and Anderlecht 1.2.

Will both teams score in Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Dinamo Zagreb last 11 games and 12 of Anderlecht last 20.

How are Dinamo Zagreb playing?

Dinamo Zagreb have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 11 games, with 16 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Anderlecht playing?

Anderlecht have 7 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dinamo Zagreb against Anderlecht. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.