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Predictions › Sweden › Djurgården vs Degerfors IF
AllsvenskanSun 1 Nov, 13:00 Sweden time

Djurgården vs Degerfors IF prediction

Tele2 Arena

DjurgårdenHome
2.51 : 0.85
expected goals
Degerfors IFAway
73%Djurgården
17%Draw
10%Degerfors
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Djurgården vs Degerfors IF is Djurgården to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Djurgården to win
Chance
73%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Djurgården 2.5, Degerfors IF 0.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Djurgården to win and both score
34% chanceFair price 2.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Djurgården 73%, the draw 17% and Degerfors IF 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Djurgården took 12 points from their last 5 games and Degerfors IF took 4 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Djurgården won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Degerfors IF won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Djurgården score 2.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. Degerfors IF score 0.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Djurgården games and 7 of Degerfors IF games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Djurgården won 1 and Degerfors IF won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Degerfors IF 0, Djurgården 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+3%
  • Degerforsrecent form-1%
  • Degerforsrest between games-2%
Djurgården form D W L W WDegerfors form D D L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Djurgården vs Degerfors IF: Djurgården are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Djurgården host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Sun 1 Nov, 13:00 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Djurgården vs Degerfors IF is Djurgården to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Degerfors IF form

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Djurgården won 1, Degerfors IF won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Degerfors IF 0, Djurgården 1.

Our call

We expect Djurgården to score about 2.5 goals and Degerfors IF about 0.8. That points to Djurgården to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Djurgården to win and both score at 2.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DjurgårdenDegerfors
Games played2020
Wins133
Draws25
Losses512
Goals scored4516
Goals conceded1632
Scored per game2.30.8
Conceded per game0.81.6
Home record5W 1D 4L2W 2D 5L
Away record8W 1D 1L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets60%10%
Both teams scored35%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.53
Over 3.5 goals43%2.32
Both teams to score53%1.89
Djurgården or Draw90%1.11
Degerfors IF or Draw27%3.71
Djurgården to win and Over 2.554%1.86
Degerfors IF to win and Over 2.56%15.70
Djurgården clean sheet43%2.33
Degerfors IF clean sheet8%12.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-011.0%
2-19.3%
3-09.2%
1-08.3%
1-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Djurgården vs Degerfors IF?

Our prediction for Djurgården vs Degerfors IF is Djurgården to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Djurgården vs Degerfors IF?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Djurgården to score 2.5 goals and Degerfors IF 0.8.

Will both teams score in Djurgården vs Degerfors IF?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Djurgården last 20 games and 9 of Degerfors IF last 20.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Degerfors IF playing?

Degerfors IF have 3 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Djurgården and Degerfors IF last met?

It ended Degerfors IF 0, Djurgården 1. In the last 2 meetings Djurgården won 1 and Degerfors IF won 0.

What is the best bet for Djurgården vs Degerfors IF?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Djurgården against Degerfors. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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