Predictions › Sweden › Djurgården vs GAIS

AllsvenskanMon 14 Sept, 17:00 Sweden time

Djurgården vs GAIS prediction

Tele2 Arena

DjurgårdenHome

2.16 : 1.02

expected goals

GAISAway

63%Djurgården

21%Draw

16%GAIS

Eagle safe pickDjurgården to win

1.57

Quick answer

Our prediction for Djurgården vs GAIS is Djurgården to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.57.

Prediction: Djurgården to win
Chance: 63%
Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals: Djurgården 2.2, GAIS 1.0
Best bet: Djurgården to win at 1.57
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Djurgården to win

64% chancePrice 1.57+0.4% value1 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Djurgården to win and Over 2.5

42% chanceFair price 2.371 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Djurgården 63%, the draw 21% and GAIS 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Djurgården the favourite at 1.57.
2
Recent form
Djurgården took 12 points from their last 5 games and GAIS took 7 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Djurgården won 5 of their last 10 games at home. GAIS won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Djurgården score 2.2 goals a game and let in 0.9. GAIS score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Djurgården games and 7 of GAIS games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Djurgården won 1 and GAIS won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended GAIS 0, Djurgården 1.
6
The safest bet
Djurgården to win has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Djurgårdenrecent form+4%

Djurgården form W W W W LGAIS form D W L L WHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Djurgården vs GAIS: Djurgården are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Djurgården host GAIS in the Allsvenskan on Mon 14 Sept, 17:00 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Djurgården vs GAIS is Djurgården to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.57.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

GAIS form

GAIS have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Djurgården won 1, GAIS won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished GAIS 0, Djurgården 1.

Our call

We expect Djurgården to score about 2.2 goals and GAIS about 1.0. That points to Djurgården to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Djurgården to win at 1.57. Our bold bet is Djurgården to win and Over 2.5 at 2.37.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Djurgården	GAIS
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	7
Draws	2	6
Losses	6	7
Goals scored	44	25
Goals conceded	19	18
Scored per game	2.2	1.3
Conceded per game	0.9	0.9
Home record	5W 1D 4L	5W 4D 2L
Away record	7W 1D 2L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	50%	45%
Both teams scored	40%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Djurgården to win	64%	1.56	1.57	+0.4%
A Draw	20%	5.10	4.10	-19.6%
GAIS to win	15%	6.59	5.25	-20.4%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.65	1.59	-4.0%
Under 2.5 goals	37%	2.70	2.25	-16.6%
Djurgården -0.5	62%	1.61	1.53	-5.4%
GAIS +0.5	36%	2.79	2.30	-17.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.55
Both teams to score	57%	1.75
Djurgården or Draw	84%	1.19
GAIS or Draw	37%	2.70
Djurgården to win and Over 2.5	45%	2.24
GAIS to win and Over 2.5	10%	9.65
Djurgården clean sheet	36%	2.76
GAIS clean sheet	12%	8.67

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-19.9%

2-09.7%

1-19.7%

1-08.5%

3-17.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Djurgården vs GAIS?

Our prediction for Djurgården vs GAIS is Djurgården to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.57.

What is the score prediction for Djurgården vs GAIS?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Djurgården to score 2.2 goals and GAIS 1.0.

Will both teams score in Djurgården vs GAIS?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Djurgården last 20 games and 7 of GAIS last 20.

How are Djurgården playing?

How are GAIS playing?

What happened when Djurgården and GAIS last met?

It ended GAIS 0, Djurgården 1. In the last 2 meetings Djurgården won 1 and GAIS won 1.

What is the best bet for Djurgården vs GAIS?

Djurgården to win at 1.57, with a 64% chance. That price pays about 0.4% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Djurgården against GAIS. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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