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Predictions › Sweden › Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg
AllsvenskanSun 20 Sept, 12:00 Sweden time

Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg prediction

Tele2 Arena

DjurgårdenHome
2.19 : 0.91
expected goals
IF ElfsborgAway
66%Djurgården
20%Draw
14%Elfsborg
Eagle safe pickDjurgården draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg is Djurgården to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
Djurgården to win
Chance
66%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Djurgården 2.2, IF Elfsborg 0.9
Best bet
Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Djurgården draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Djurgården to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price 2.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Djurgården 66%, the draw 20% and IF Elfsborg 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Djurgården took 12 points from their last 5 games and IF Elfsborg took 10 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Djurgården won 5 of their last 10 games at home. IF Elfsborg won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Djurgården score 2.2 goals a game and let in 0.9. IF Elfsborg score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Djurgården games and 8 of IF Elfsborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Djurgården won 0 and IF Elfsborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IF Elfsborg 2, Djurgården 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Djurgården draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+4%
  • Elfsborgrecent form+3%
  • Elfsborgrest between games-5%
Djurgården form W W W W LElfsborg form W L W D WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg: Djurgården are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Djurgården host IF Elfsborg in the Allsvenskan on Sun 20 Sept, 12:00 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg is Djurgården to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

IF Elfsborg form

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Djurgården won 0, IF Elfsborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IF Elfsborg 2, Djurgården 1.

Our call

We expect Djurgården to score about 2.2 goals and IF Elfsborg about 0.9. That points to Djurgården to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Djurgården to win and Over 2.5 at 2.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DjurgårdenElfsborg
Games played2020
Wins128
Draws27
Losses65
Goals scored4425
Goals conceded1919
Scored per game2.21.3
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record5W 1D 4L5W 3D 2L
Away record7W 1D 2L3W 4D 3L
Clean sheets50%35%
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.67
Both teams to score54%1.87
Djurgården or Draw86%1.16
IF Elfsborg or Draw34%2.94
Djurgården to win and Over 2.546%2.18
IF Elfsborg to win and Over 2.58%11.89
Djurgården clean sheet40%2.48
IF Elfsborg clean sheet11%8.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.8%
2-19.8%
1-19.5%
1-09.3%
3-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg?

Our prediction for Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg is Djurgården to win, with a 66% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-1. We expect Djurgården to score 2.2 goals and IF Elfsborg 0.9.

Will both teams score in Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Djurgården last 20 games and 12 of IF Elfsborg last 20.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are IF Elfsborg playing?

IF Elfsborg have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Djurgården and IF Elfsborg last met?

It ended IF Elfsborg 2, Djurgården 1. In the last 1 meeting Djurgården won 0 and IF Elfsborg won 1.

What is the best bet for Djurgården vs IF Elfsborg?

Djurgården draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Djurgården against Elfsborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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