Predictions › Sweden › Djurgården vs Örgryte IS
AllsvenskanSat 24 Oct, 15:30 Sweden time

Djurgården vs Örgryte IS prediction

Tele2 Arena

DjurgårdenHome
3.56 : 0.76
expected goals
Örgryte ISAway
87%Djurgården
9%Draw
4%Örgryte
Eagle safe pickDjurgården to win
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Djurgården vs Örgryte IS is Djurgården to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.17.

Prediction
Djurgården to win
Chance
87%
Most likely score
3-0
Expected goals
Djurgården 3.6, Örgryte IS 0.8
Best bet
Djurgården to win at 1.17
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Djurgården to win
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Djurgården to win and both score
42% chanceFair price 2.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Djurgården 87%, the draw 9% and Örgryte IS 4%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Djurgården took 12 points from their last 5 games and Örgryte IS took 1 from 5. Djurgården come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Djurgården won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Örgryte IS won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Djurgården score 2.2 goals a game and let in 0.9. Örgryte IS score 0.9 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Djurgården games and 11 of Örgryte IS games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Djurgården won 0 and Örgryte IS won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Örgryte IS 0, Djurgården 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Djurgården to win has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Djurgårdenrecent form+3%
  • Örgryterecent form-4%
Djurgården form D L W W WÖrgryte form D L L D LHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Djurgården vs Örgryte IS: Djurgården are favourites

The big picture

Djurgården host Örgryte IS in the Allsvenskan on Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 at Tele2 Arena. Our prediction for Djurgården vs Örgryte IS is Djurgården to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.17.

Djurgården form

Djurgården have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Örgryte IS form

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Djurgården won 0, Örgryte IS won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Örgryte IS 0, Djurgården 0.

Our call

We expect Djurgården to score about 3.6 goals and Örgryte IS about 0.8. That points to Djurgården to win, with 3-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Djurgården to win at 1.17. Our bold bet is Djurgården to win and both score at 2.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DjurgårdenÖrgryte
Games played2020
Wins122
Draws25
Losses613
Goals scored4419
Goals conceded1841
Scored per game2.20.9
Conceded per game0.92.0
Home record5W 1D 4L1W 5D 4L
Away record7W 1D 2L1W 0D 9L
Clean sheets55%15%
Both teams scored40%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals93%1.07
Over 2.5 goals80%1.24
Over 3.5 goals63%1.60
Both teams to score52%1.93
Djurgården or Draw96%1.04
Örgryte IS or Draw13%7.90
Djurgården to win and Over 2.574%1.35
Örgryte IS to win and Over 2.53%35.31
Djurgården clean sheet47%2.13
Örgryte IS clean sheet3%35.12

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-010.0%
4-08.9%
2-08.5%
3-17.6%
4-16.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Djurgården vs Örgryte IS?

Our prediction for Djurgården vs Örgryte IS is Djurgården to win, with a 87% chance. The most likely score is 3-0. Our best bet is Djurgården to win at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Djurgården vs Örgryte IS?

3-0 is the most likely score, followed by 4-0 and 2-0. We expect Djurgården to score 3.6 goals and Örgryte IS 0.8.

Will both teams score in Djurgården vs Örgryte IS?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Djurgården last 20 games and 10 of Örgryte IS last 20.

How are Djurgården playing?

Djurgården have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Örgryte IS playing?

Örgryte IS have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Djurgården and Örgryte IS last met?

It ended Örgryte IS 0, Djurgården 0. In the last 1 meeting Djurgården won 0 and Örgryte IS won 0.

What is the best bet for Djurgården vs Örgryte IS?

Djurgården to win at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Djurgården against Örgryte. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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