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Predictions › United Kingdom › Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion
League OneSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion prediction

Eco-Power Stadium

Doncaster RoversHome
1.09 : 1.17
expected goals
Burton AlbionAway
33%Doncaster
30%Draw
37%Burton Albion
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
2/7

Quick answer

Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Prediction
Burton Albion to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Doncaster Rovers 1.1, Burton Albion 1.2
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 2/7
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 2/72 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Doncaster Rovers 33%, the draw 30% and Burton Albion 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Doncaster Rovers took 5 points from their last 5 games and Burton Albion took 8 from 5. Burton Albion come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Doncaster Rovers won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Burton Albion won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.2. Burton Albion score 1.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Doncaster Rovers games and 10 of Burton Albion games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Doncaster Rovers won 1 and Burton Albion won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Burton Albion 1, Doncaster Rovers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Doncasterrecent form-3%
  • Burton Albionrecent form-1%
Doncaster form W L L L DBurton Albion form W L D L DHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion: Burton Albion shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Doncaster Rovers host Burton Albion in the League One on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Eco-Power Stadium. Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

Doncaster Rovers form

Doncaster Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

Burton Albion form

Burton Albion have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Doncaster Rovers won 1, Burton Albion won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Burton Albion 1, Doncaster Rovers 2.

Our call

We expect Doncaster Rovers to score about 1.1 goals and Burton Albion about 1.2. That points to Burton Albion to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DoncasterBurton Albion
Games played2020
Wins76
Draws68
Losses76
Goals scored2225
Goals conceded2424
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.21.2
Home record3W 3D 4L3W 5D 3L
Away record4W 3D 3L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored50%65%
Over 2.5 goals40%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1/2
Over 2.5 goals39%6/4
Over 3.5 goals19%4/1
Both teams to score47%11/10
Doncaster Rovers or Draw63%4/7
Burton Albion or Draw67%1/2
Doncaster Rovers to win and Over 2.516%5/1
Burton Albion to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Doncaster Rovers clean sheet31%9/4
Burton Albion clean sheet34%2/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
0-111.4%
0-011.2%
1-010.5%
1-27.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion?

Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion is Burton Albion to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 2/7.

What is the score prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Doncaster Rovers to score 1.1 goals and Burton Albion 1.2.

Will both teams score in Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Doncaster Rovers last 20 games and 13 of Burton Albion last 20.

How are Doncaster Rovers playing?

Doncaster Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, D, newest first.

How are Burton Albion playing?

Burton Albion have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Doncaster Rovers and Burton Albion last met?

It ended Burton Albion 1, Doncaster Rovers 2. In the last 2 meetings Doncaster Rovers won 1 and Burton Albion won 0.

What is the best bet for Doncaster Rovers vs Burton Albion?

Under 3.5 goals at 2/7, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Doncaster against Burton Albion. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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