Predictions › United Kingdom › Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County
League OneTue 20 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County prediction

Eco-Power Stadium

Doncaster RoversHome
0.97 : 1.41
expected goals
Stockport CountyAway
25%Doncaster
28%Draw
46%Stockport
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction
Stockport County to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Doncaster Rovers 1.0, Stockport County 1.4
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Doncaster Rovers 25%, the draw 28% and Stockport County 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Doncaster Rovers took 7 points from their last 5 games and Stockport County took 10 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Doncaster Rovers won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Stockport County won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Doncaster Rovers score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Stockport County score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Doncaster Rovers games and 12 of Stockport County games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Doncaster Rovers won 0 and Stockport County won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Stockport County 1, Doncaster Rovers 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stockportrecent form+1%
  • Doncasterrest between games-5%
  • Stockportrest between games-5%
Doncaster form D W W L LStockport form D W W D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County: Stockport County are favourites

The big picture

Doncaster Rovers host Stockport County in the League One on Tue 20 Oct, 19:45 at Eco-Power Stadium. Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

Doncaster Rovers form

Doncaster Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Doncaster Rovers won 0, Stockport County won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Stockport County 1, Doncaster Rovers 1.

Our call

We expect Doncaster Rovers to score about 1.0 goals and Stockport County about 1.4. That points to Stockport County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DoncasterStockport
Games played2020
Wins710
Draws64
Losses76
Goals scored2139
Goals conceded2326
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 1D 4L
Away record4W 3D 3L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%4/9
Over 2.5 goals42%11/8
Over 3.5 goals22%7/2
Both teams to score48%11/10
Doncaster Rovers or Draw54%5/6
Stockport County or Draw75%1/3
Doncaster Rovers to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Stockport County to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Doncaster Rovers clean sheet24%3/1
Stockport County clean sheet38%13/8

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-112.3%
0-010.0%
0-29.2%
1-28.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Our prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County is Stockport County to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Doncaster Rovers to score 1.0 goals and Stockport County 1.4.

Will both teams score in Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Doncaster Rovers last 20 games and 12 of Stockport County last 20.

How are Doncaster Rovers playing?

Doncaster Rovers have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Doncaster Rovers and Stockport County last met?

It ended Stockport County 1, Doncaster Rovers 1. In the last 3 meetings Doncaster Rovers won 0 and Stockport County won 2.

What is the best bet for Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport County?

Under 3.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Doncaster against Stockport. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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