Predictions › United States › Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 12:00 United States time

Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes prediction

Hard Rock Stadium

Duke Blue DevilsAway
22.0 : 37.9
projected points
Miami HurricanesHome
16%Duke
84%Miami
Eagle safe pickMiami to win
-532

Quick answer

Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Duke Blue Devils 22.0 and Miami Hurricanes 37.9. Our best bet is Miami to win at -532.

Prediction
Miami Hurricanes to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Duke Blue Devils 22, Miami Hurricanes 38
Projected total
59.8 points
Best bet
Miami to win at -532

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Miami to win
84% chanceFair price -5322 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Hurricanes 84% and Duke Blue Devils 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Hurricanes won 5 of their last 5 and Duke Blue Devils won 3 of their last 5. Miami Hurricanes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Hurricanes won 7 of their last 8 games at home. Duke Blue Devils won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Hurricanes score 36.5 points a game and let in 16.6. Duke Blue Devils score 33.8 and let in 23.2. Their recent games average 53.1 and 57.0 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Miami to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes: Miami Hurricanes are favourites

The big picture

Miami Hurricanes host Duke Blue Devils in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 12:00 at Hard Rock Stadium. Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Duke Blue Devils 22.0 and Miami Hurricanes 37.9. Our best bet is Miami to win at -532.

Miami Hurricanes form

Miami Hurricanes have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 729 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Duke Blue Devils form

Duke Blue Devils have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 676 points scored and 464 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Duke Blue Devils to score about 22.0 points and Miami Hurricanes about 37.9. That points to Miami Hurricanes to win. Our safest bet is Miami to win at -532.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MiamiDuke
Games played2020
Wins1714
Losses36
Points scored729676
Points conceded333464
Scored per game36.533.8
Conceded per game16.623.2
Home record7W 1L7W 3L
Away record10W 2L7W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Miami spreadCoversFair
Miami -22.534%+194
Miami -18.544%+130
Miami -15.551%-104
Miami -12.558%-141
Miami -8.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
52.568%32%
56.558%42%
59.551%49%
62.543%57%
66.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Miami +3.5 wins if Miami win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes?

Our prediction for Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes is Miami Hurricanes to win, with a 84% chance. We project Duke Blue Devils 22.0 and Miami Hurricanes 37.9. Our best bet is Miami to win at -532.

What is the projected score for Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes?

We project Duke Blue Devils 22.0 and Miami Hurricanes 37.9, about 59.8 points in total.

How are Miami Hurricanes playing?

Miami Hurricanes have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 729 points scored and 333 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Duke Blue Devils playing?

Duke Blue Devils have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 676 points scored and 464 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Duke Blue Devils vs Miami Hurricanes?

Miami to win at -532, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Miami against Duke. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.