Predictions › United Kingdom › Dundee United vs Aberdeen
Scottish PremiershipSat 24 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Dundee United vs Aberdeen prediction

Tannadice Park

Dundee UnitedHome
1.30 : 0.87
expected goals
AberdeenAway
46%Dundee Utd
30%Draw
24%Aberdeen
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Aberdeen is Dundee United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Dundee United to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Dundee United 1.3, Aberdeen 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 6/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dundee United 46%, the draw 30% and Aberdeen 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dundee United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Aberdeen took 5 from 5. Dundee United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dundee United won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Aberdeen won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dundee United score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Aberdeen score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Dundee United games and 7 of Aberdeen games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dundee United won 1 and Aberdeen won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Aberdeen 2, Dundee United 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dundee Utdrecent form+1%
  • Aberdeenrecent form+3%
Dundee Utd form D W D L WAberdeen form D D W W DHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dundee United vs Aberdeen: Dundee United are favourites

The big picture

Dundee United host Aberdeen in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Tannadice Park. Our prediction for Dundee United vs Aberdeen is Dundee United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

Dundee United form

Dundee United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Aberdeen form

Aberdeen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dundee United won 1, Aberdeen won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Aberdeen 2, Dundee United 0.

Our call

We expect Dundee United to score about 1.3 goals and Aberdeen about 0.9. That points to Dundee United to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Dundee UtdAberdeen
Games played2020
Wins75
Draws65
Losses710
Goals scored2519
Goals conceded2826
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record5W 4D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record2W 2D 6L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored35%35%
Over 2.5 goals50%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals65%8/15
Over 2.5 goals37%7/4
Over 3.5 goals18%9/2
Both teams to score43%11/8
Dundee United or Draw76%1/3
Aberdeen or Draw54%5/6
Dundee United to win and Over 2.522%7/2
Aberdeen to win and Over 2.511%17/2
Dundee United clean sheet42%11/8
Aberdeen clean sheet27%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%
1-113.7%
0-012.1%
2-09.7%
0-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Aberdeen is Dundee United to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Dundee United to score 1.3 goals and Aberdeen 0.9.

Will both teams score in Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Dundee United last 20 games and 7 of Aberdeen last 20.

How are Dundee United playing?

Dundee United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Aberdeen playing?

Aberdeen have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Dundee United and Aberdeen last met?

It ended Aberdeen 2, Dundee United 0. In the last 4 meetings Dundee United won 1 and Aberdeen won 1.

What is the best bet for Dundee United vs Aberdeen?

Under 3.5 goals at 1/4, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dundee Utd against Aberdeen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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