Predictions › United Kingdom › Dundee United vs Hibernian

Scottish PremiershipSat 10 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Dundee United vs Hibernian prediction

Tannadice Park

Dundee UnitedHome

1.35 : 1.42

expected goals

HibernianAway

35%Dundee Utd

27%Draw

38%Hibernian

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Prediction: Hibernian to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Dundee United 1.4, Hibernian 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 3/10
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Dundee United 35%, the draw 27% and Hibernian 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Hibernian the favourite at 7/5.
2
Recent form
Dundee United took 7 points from their last 5 games and Hibernian took 4 from 5. Dundee United come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Dundee United won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Hibernian won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Dundee United score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Hibernian score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Dundee United games and 12 of Hibernian games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 3 meetings, Dundee United won 0 and Hibernian won 1 with 2 draws. The last one ended Hibernian 3, Dundee United 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Hibernianrecent form-3%

Dundee Utd form W D L W LHibernian form D L W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dundee United vs Hibernian: Hibernian shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dundee United host Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 at Tannadice Park. Our prediction for Dundee United vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

Dundee United form

Dundee United have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Hibernian form

Hibernian have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Dundee United won 0, Hibernian won 1 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hibernian 3, Dundee United 2.

Our call

We expect Dundee United to score about 1.4 goals and Hibernian about 1.4. That points to Hibernian to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7/1.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Dundee Utd	Hibernian
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	4
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	25	25
Goals conceded	29	25
Scored per game	1.3	1.3
Conceded per game	1.4	1.3
Home record	4W 5D 1L	2W 2D 6L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Both teams scored	40%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Dundee United to win	33%	2/1	13/8	-12.2%
A Draw	26%	11/4	5/2	-8.7%
Hibernian to win	36%	9/5	7/5	-13.9%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	10/11	8/13	-15.7%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	7/5	11/10	-11.4%
Dundee United +0.5	57%	8/11	1/2	-13.1%
Hibernian -0.5	37%	7/4	5/4	-16.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	3/10
Over 2.5 goals	52%	10/11
Over 3.5 goals	30%	9/4
Both teams to score	57%	8/11
Dundee United or Draw	62%	8/13
Hibernian or Draw	65%	8/15
Dundee United to win and Over 2.5	22%	7/2
Hibernian to win and Over 2.5	24%	10/3
Dundee United clean sheet	24%	3/1
Hibernian clean sheet	26%	11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%

1-28.5%

0-18.2%

2-18.1%

1-07.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Hibernian is Hibernian to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Dundee United vs Hibernian?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Dundee United to score 1.4 goals and Hibernian 1.4.

Will both teams score in Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Dundee United last 20 games and 12 of Hibernian last 20.

How are Dundee United playing?

How are Hibernian playing?

What happened when Dundee United and Hibernian last met?

It ended Hibernian 3, Dundee United 2. In the last 3 meetings Dundee United won 0 and Hibernian won 1.

What is the best bet for Dundee United vs Hibernian?

Over 1.5 goals at 3/10, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dundee Utd against Hibernian. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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