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Predictions › United Kingdom › Dundee United vs Motherwell
Scottish PremiershipSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Dundee United vs Motherwell prediction

Tannadice Park

Dundee UnitedHome
1.44 : 1.18
expected goals
MotherwellAway
42%Dundee Utd
28%Draw
30%Motherwell
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Motherwell is Dundee United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
Dundee United to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dundee United 1.4, Motherwell 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/32 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dundee United 42%, the draw 28% and Motherwell 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dundee United took 11 points from their last 5 games and Motherwell took 0 from 5. Dundee United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dundee United won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Motherwell won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dundee United score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Motherwell score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Dundee United games and 12 of Motherwell games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Dundee United won 0 and Motherwell won 3 with 1 draw. The last one ended Motherwell 3, Dundee United 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dundee Utdrecent form+3%
  • Motherwellrecent form-6%
Dundee Utd form D D W W DMotherwell form D L L L LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dundee United vs Motherwell: Dundee United shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dundee United host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Tannadice Park. Our prediction for Dundee United vs Motherwell is Dundee United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Dundee United form

Dundee United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Motherwell form

Motherwell have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Dundee United won 0, Motherwell won 3 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Motherwell 3, Dundee United 0.

Our call

We expect Dundee United to score about 1.4 goals and Motherwell about 1.2. That points to Dundee United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Dundee UtdMotherwell
Games played2020
Wins84
Draws64
Losses612
Goals scored2923
Goals conceded2936
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record6W 3D 1L1W 3D 5L
Away record2W 3D 5L3W 1D 7L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored45%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score54%5/6
Dundee United or Draw70%4/9
Motherwell or Draw58%8/11
Dundee United to win and Over 2.525%3/1
Motherwell to win and Over 2.517%5/1
Dundee United clean sheet31%9/4
Motherwell clean sheet24%10/3

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.7%
2-18.9%
0-08.0%
0-17.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Our prediction for Dundee United vs Motherwell is Dundee United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Dundee United vs Motherwell?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Dundee United to score 1.4 goals and Motherwell 1.2.

Will both teams score in Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Dundee United last 20 games and 11 of Motherwell last 20.

How are Dundee United playing?

Dundee United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Motherwell playing?

Motherwell have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Dundee United and Motherwell last met?

It ended Motherwell 3, Dundee United 0. In the last 4 meetings Dundee United won 0 and Motherwell won 3.

What is the best bet for Dundee United vs Motherwell?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dundee Utd against Motherwell. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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