Predictions › France › Dunkerque vs Annecy

Ligue 2Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 France time

Dunkerque vs Annecy prediction

Stade Marcel-Tribut

DunkerqueHome

1.50 : 1.28

expected goals

AnnecyAway

42%Dunkerque

27%Draw

32%Annecy

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Annecy is Dunkerque to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Dunkerque to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Dunkerque 1.5, Annecy 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5

25% chanceFair price 3.971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Dunkerque 42%, the draw 27% and Annecy 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Dunkerque the favourite at 2.20.
2
Recent form
Dunkerque took 4 points from their last 5 games and Annecy took 4 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Dunkerque won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Annecy won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Dunkerque score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Annecy score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Dunkerque games and 13 of Annecy games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Dunkerque won 0 and Annecy won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dunkerque 0, Annecy 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Dunkerquerecent form-3%
Annecyrecent form-3%

Dunkerque form L W D L LAnnecy form L L W D LHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dunkerque vs Annecy: Dunkerque shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dunkerque host Annecy in the Ligue 2 on Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Marcel-Tribut. Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Annecy is Dunkerque to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Dunkerque form

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Annecy form

Annecy have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Dunkerque won 0, Annecy won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dunkerque 0, Annecy 1.

Our call

We expect Dunkerque to score about 1.5 goals and Annecy about 1.3. That points to Dunkerque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5 at 3.97.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Dunkerque	Annecy
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	9
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	28	31
Goals conceded	34	27
Scored per game	1.4	1.6
Conceded per game	1.7	1.4
Home record	2W 5D 3L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	2W 1D 7L	5W 1D 4L
Clean sheets	5%	25%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Dunkerque to win	38%	2.60	2.20	-15.5%
A Draw	26%	3.88	3.45	-11.0%
Annecy to win	30%	3.29	2.95	-10.3%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.00	1.71	-14.4%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.28	1.95	-14.4%
Dunkerque -0.5	39%	2.57	2.15	-16.4%
Annecy +0.5	55%	1.82	1.57	-13.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	77%	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.90
Over 3.5 goals	30%	3.29
Both teams to score	57%	1.76
Dunkerque or Draw	68%	1.47
Annecy or Draw	58%	1.71
Dunkerque to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.85
Annecy to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.14
Dunkerque clean sheet	28%	3.61
Annecy clean sheet	22%	4.47

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%

2-18.9%

1-08.6%

1-27.6%

0-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dunkerque vs Annecy?

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Annecy is Dunkerque to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Dunkerque vs Annecy?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Dunkerque to score 1.5 goals and Annecy 1.3.

Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Annecy?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Dunkerque last 20 games and 13 of Annecy last 20.

How are Dunkerque playing?

How are Annecy playing?

What happened when Dunkerque and Annecy last met?

It ended Dunkerque 0, Annecy 1. In the last 1 meeting Dunkerque won 0 and Annecy won 1.

What is the best bet for Dunkerque vs Annecy?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dunkerque against Annecy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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