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Predictions › France › Dunkerque vs Metz
Ligue 2Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 France time

Dunkerque vs Metz prediction

Stade Marcel-Tribut

DunkerqueHome
1.35 : 0.91
expected goals
MetzAway
46%Dunkerque
29%Draw
24%Metz
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Metz is Dunkerque to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Dunkerque to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dunkerque 1.4, Metz 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dunkerque 46%, the draw 29% and Metz 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dunkerque took 4 points from their last 5 games and Metz took 5 from 5. Metz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dunkerque won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Metz won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dunkerque score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Metz score 1.1 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Dunkerque games and 12 of Metz games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Dunkerquerecent form-1%
  • Metzrest between games-5%
Dunkerque form D L W D LMetz form D D L W DHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dunkerque vs Metz: Dunkerque are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dunkerque host Metz in the Ligue 2 on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at Stade Marcel-Tribut. Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Metz is Dunkerque to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Dunkerque form

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Metz form

Metz have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Dunkerque to score about 1.4 goals and Metz about 0.9. That points to Dunkerque to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DunkerqueMetz
Games played2020
Wins42
Draws58
Losses1110
Goals scored2822
Goals conceded3538
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.81.9
Home record2W 4D 4L2W 3D 5L
Away record2W 1D 7L0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets0%20%
Both teams scored65%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.50
Over 2.5 goals39%2.55
Over 3.5 goals19%5.20
Both teams to score45%2.22
Dunkerque or Draw76%1.32
Metz or Draw54%1.86
Dunkerque to win and Over 2.523%4.27
Metz to win and Over 2.511%8.79
Dunkerque clean sheet40%2.48
Metz clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-013.4%
0-011.2%
2-09.5%
0-18.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?

Our prediction for Dunkerque vs Metz is Dunkerque to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Dunkerque vs Metz?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Dunkerque to score 1.4 goals and Metz 0.9.

Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Metz?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Dunkerque last 20 games and 11 of Metz last 20.

How are Dunkerque playing?

Dunkerque have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Metz playing?

Metz have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 38 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Dunkerque vs Metz?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Dunkerque against Metz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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