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Predictions › South Africa › Durban City vs AmaZulu
South African PremiershipTue 13 Oct, 19:30 South Africa time

Durban City vs AmaZulu prediction

Chatsworth Stadium

Durban CityHome
0.78 : 0.73
expected goals
AmaZuluAway
32%Durban
38%Draw
30%AmaZulu
Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Durban City vs AmaZulu is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
A draw
Chance
38%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Durban City 0.8, AmaZulu 0.7
Best bet
Under 2.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
29%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
23% chanceFair price 4.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Durban City 32%, the draw 38% and AmaZulu 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Durban City took 6 points from their last 5 games and AmaZulu took 12 from 5. AmaZulu come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Durban City won 2 of their last 10 games at home. AmaZulu won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Durban City score 0.7 goals a game and let in 0.9. AmaZulu score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Durban City games and 6 of AmaZulu games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Durban City won 0 and AmaZulu won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Durban City 0, AmaZulu 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 2.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Durbanrecent form+1%
  • AmaZulurecent form+4%
Durban form D L W W DAmaZulu form W W W L WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Durban City vs AmaZulu: a draw looks likely

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Durban City host AmaZulu in the South African Premiership on Tue 13 Oct, 19:30 at Chatsworth Stadium. Our prediction for Durban City vs AmaZulu is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

Durban City form

Durban City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

AmaZulu form

AmaZulu have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Durban City won 0, AmaZulu won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Durban City 0, AmaZulu 1.

Our call

We expect Durban City to score about 0.8 goals and AmaZulu about 0.7. That points to a draw, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 4.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DurbanAmaZulu
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws96
Losses75
Goals scored1423
Goals conceded1819
Scored per game0.71.1
Conceded per game0.90.9
Home record2W 6D 2L4W 4D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets40%40%
Both teams scored30%40%
Over 2.5 goals10%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals45%2.21
Over 2.5 goals19%5.16
Over 3.5 goals7%14.92
Both teams to score29%3.47
Durban City or Draw70%1.42
AmaZulu or Draw68%1.47
Durban City to win and Over 2.59%10.94
AmaZulu to win and Over 2.58%12.00
Durban City clean sheet48%2.09
AmaZulu clean sheet46%2.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-022.8%
1-016.4%
0-115.5%
1-113.3%
2-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Durban City vs AmaZulu?

Our prediction for Durban City vs AmaZulu is a draw, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Durban City vs AmaZulu?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Durban City to score 0.8 goals and AmaZulu 0.7.

Will both teams score in Durban City vs AmaZulu?

Both teams to score has a 29% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Durban City last 20 games and 8 of AmaZulu last 20.

How are Durban City playing?

Durban City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are AmaZulu playing?

AmaZulu have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Durban City and AmaZulu last met?

It ended Durban City 0, AmaZulu 1. In the last 2 meetings Durban City won 0 and AmaZulu won 2.

What is the best bet for Durban City vs AmaZulu?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Durban against AmaZulu. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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