Predictions › Germany › Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg

2. BundesligaSun 18 Oct, 11:30 Germany time

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg prediction

Rudolf Harbig Stadium

Dynamo DresdenHome

1.49 : 1.58

expected goals

1. FC MagdeburgAway

35%D Dresden

25%Draw

39%Magdeburg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction: 1. FC Magdeburg to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden 1.5, 1. FC Magdeburg 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

79% chanceFair price 1.262 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5

26% chanceFair price 3.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Dynamo Dresden 35%, the draw 25% and 1. FC Magdeburg 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Dynamo Dresden took 4 points from their last 5 games and 1. FC Magdeburg took 10 from 5. 1. FC Magdeburg come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Dynamo Dresden won 6 of their last 10 games at home. 1. FC Magdeburg won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Dynamo Dresden score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. 1. FC Magdeburg score 1.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Dynamo Dresden games and 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Dynamo Dresden 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

D Dresdenrecent form-3%
Magdeburgrecent form+3%

D Dresden form L D L L WMagdeburg form D W L W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg: 1. FC Magdeburg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dynamo Dresden host 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga on Sun 18 Oct, 11:30 at Rudolf Harbig Stadium. Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

Dynamo Dresden form

Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

1. FC Magdeburg form

1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Dynamo Dresden won 1, 1. FC Magdeburg won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Dynamo Dresden 2.

Our call

We expect Dynamo Dresden to score about 1.5 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg about 1.6. That points to 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is 1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5 at 3.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	D Dresden	Magdeburg
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	9
Draws	4	2
Losses	9	9
Goals scored	33	37
Goals conceded	31	34
Scored per game	1.6	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.7
Home record	6W 0D 4L	5W 1D 4L
Away record	1W 4D 5L	4W 1D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	25%
Both teams scored	60%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.69
Over 3.5 goals	37%	2.71
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
Dynamo Dresden or Draw	61%	1.65
1. FC Magdeburg or Draw	65%	1.55
Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.16
1. FC Magdeburg to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.72
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet	21%	4.87
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet	22%	4.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.6%

1-28.6%

2-18.1%

0-16.7%

2-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg is 1. FC Magdeburg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Dynamo Dresden to score 1.5 goals and 1. FC Magdeburg 1.6.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Dynamo Dresden last 20 games and 11 of 1. FC Magdeburg last 20.

How are Dynamo Dresden playing?

How are 1. FC Magdeburg playing?

What happened when Dynamo Dresden and 1. FC Magdeburg last met?

It ended 1. FC Magdeburg 1, Dynamo Dresden 2. In the last 1 meeting Dynamo Dresden won 1 and 1. FC Magdeburg won 0.

What is the best bet for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in D Dresden against Magdeburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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