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Predictions › Germany › Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
2. BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 18:30 Germany time

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin prediction

Rudolf Harbig Stadium

Dynamo DresdenHome
1.56 : 1.72
expected goals
Hertha BerlinAway
35%D Dresden
24%Draw
41%Hertha
Eagle safe pickHertha Berlin or Draw
1.51

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51.

Prediction
Hertha Berlin to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dynamo Dresden 1.6, Hertha Berlin 1.7
Best bet
Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51
Both teams to score
65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Hertha Berlin or Draw
66% chanceFair price 1.511 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5
28% chanceFair price 3.561 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dynamo Dresden 35%, the draw 24% and Hertha Berlin 41%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dynamo Dresden took 4 points from their last 5 games and Hertha Berlin took 12 from 5. Hertha Berlin come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dynamo Dresden won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Hertha Berlin won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dynamo Dresden score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Hertha Berlin score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Dynamo Dresden games and 13 of Hertha Berlin games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Dynamo Dresden won 0 and Hertha Berlin won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dynamo Dresden 0, Hertha Berlin 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Hertha Berlin or Draw has a 66% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Hertharecent form+7%
  • D Dresdenrest between games-5%
D Dresden form D L L W WHertha form W W W W WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin: Hertha Berlin shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dynamo Dresden host Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga on Sat 19 Sept, 18:30 at Rudolf Harbig Stadium. Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51.

Dynamo Dresden form

Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Hertha Berlin form

Hertha Berlin have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Dynamo Dresden won 0, Hertha Berlin won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dynamo Dresden 0, Hertha Berlin 1.

Our call

We expect Dynamo Dresden to score about 1.6 goals and Hertha Berlin about 1.7. That points to Hertha Berlin to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51. Our bold bet is Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.5 at 3.56.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D DresdenHertha
Games played2020
Wins710
Draws54
Losses86
Goals scored3338
Goals conceded3033
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.51.6
Home record6W 1D 3L4W 2D 3L
Away record1W 4D 5L6W 2D 3L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.57
Over 3.5 goals41%2.41
Both teams to score65%1.53
Dynamo Dresden or Draw59%1.70
Hertha Berlin or Draw65%1.53
Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.525%4.05
Hertha Berlin to win and Over 2.530%3.36
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet18%5.57
Hertha Berlin clean sheet21%4.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
1-28.7%
2-17.9%
2-26.8%
0-15.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin is Hertha Berlin to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51.

What is the score prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Dynamo Dresden to score 1.6 goals and Hertha Berlin 1.7.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Dynamo Dresden last 20 games and 14 of Hertha Berlin last 20.

How are Dynamo Dresden playing?

Dynamo Dresden have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Hertha Berlin playing?

Hertha Berlin have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Dynamo Dresden and Hertha Berlin last met?

It ended Dynamo Dresden 0, Hertha Berlin 1. In the last 2 meetings Dynamo Dresden won 0 and Hertha Berlin won 2.

What is the best bet for Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha Berlin?

Hertha Berlin or Draw at 1.51, with a 66% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in D Dresden against Hertha. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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