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Predictions › Germany › Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2. BundesligaFri 6 Nov, 17:30 Germany time

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth prediction

Rudolf Harbig Stadium

Dynamo DresdenHome
1.82 : 0.99
expected goals
SpVgg Greuther FürthAway
56%D Dresden
24%Draw
20%Greuther Furth
Eagle safe pickDynamo Dresden or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Dynamo Dresden to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Dynamo Dresden to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Dynamo Dresden 1.8, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.0
Best bet
Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Dynamo Dresden or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dynamo Dresden 56%, the draw 24% and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dynamo Dresden took 5 points from their last 5 games and SpVgg Greuther Fürth took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dynamo Dresden won 7 of their last 10 games at home. SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Dynamo Dresden score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.6. SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Dynamo Dresden games and 10 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Dynamo Dresden won 1 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Dynamo Dresden 2, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Dynamo Dresden or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • D Dresdenrest between games-2%
  • Greuther Furthrest between games-2%
D Dresden form D W D L DGreuther Furth form D W L D DHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Dynamo Dresden are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dynamo Dresden host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 6 Nov, 17:30 at Rudolf Harbig Stadium. Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Dynamo Dresden to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24.

Dynamo Dresden form

Dynamo Dresden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Dynamo Dresden won 1, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Dynamo Dresden 2, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0.

Our call

We expect Dynamo Dresden to score about 1.8 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth about 1.0. That points to Dynamo Dresden to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.5 at 2.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

D DresdenGreuther Furth
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws36
Losses98
Goals scored3327
Goals conceded3130
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.61.5
Home record7W 0D 3L4W 3D 3L
Away record1W 3D 6L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.87
Over 3.5 goals31%3.21
Both teams to score53%1.87
Dynamo Dresden or Draw80%1.24
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw44%2.28
Dynamo Dresden to win and Over 2.536%2.78
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win and Over 2.511%8.76
Dynamo Dresden clean sheet37%2.70
SpVgg Greuther Fürth clean sheet16%6.18

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
1-010.3%
2-010.0%
2-19.9%
0-06.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is Dynamo Dresden to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Dynamo Dresden to score 1.8 goals and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.0.

Will both teams score in Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Dynamo Dresden last 20 games and 13 of SpVgg Greuther Fürth last 20.

How are Dynamo Dresden playing?

Dynamo Dresden have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are SpVgg Greuther Fürth playing?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Dynamo Dresden and SpVgg Greuther Fürth last met?

It ended Dynamo Dresden 2, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0. In the last 1 meeting Dynamo Dresden won 1 and SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 0.

What is the best bet for Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Dynamo Dresden or Draw at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in D Dresden against Greuther Furth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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