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Predictions › United States › East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 12:00 United States time

East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights prediction

Michie Stadium

East Carolina PiratesAway
21.0 : 32.7
projected points
Army Black KnightsHome
22%East Carolina
78%Army
Eagle safe pickArmy to win
-345

Quick answer

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 21.0 and Army Black Knights 32.7. Our best bet is Army to win at -345.

Prediction
Army Black Knights to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
East Carolina Pirates 21, Army Black Knights 33
Projected total
53.7 points
Best bet
Army to win at -345

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Army to win
78% chanceFair price -3452 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Army Black Knights 78% and East Carolina Pirates 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Army Black Knights won 3 of their last 5 and East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Army Black Knights won 6 of their last 10 games at home. East Carolina Pirates won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Army Black Knights score 27.4 points a game and let in 22.9. East Carolina Pirates score 28.2 and let in 22.2. Their recent games average 50.4 and 50.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Army Black Knights won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1. The last one ended East Carolina Pirates 28, Army Black Knights 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Army to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights: Army Black Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Army Black Knights host East Carolina Pirates in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 12:00 at Michie Stadium. Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 21.0 and Army Black Knights 32.7. Our best bet is Army to win at -345.

Army Black Knights form

Army Black Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 549 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 564 points scored and 444 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Army Black Knights won 0, East Carolina Pirates won 1. Last time out it finished East Carolina Pirates 28, Army Black Knights 6.

Our call

We expect East Carolina Pirates to score about 21.0 points and Army Black Knights about 32.7. That points to Army Black Knights to win. Our safest bet is Army to win at -345.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ArmyEast Carolina
Games played2020
Wins1113
Losses97
Points scored549564
Points conceded458444
Scored per game27.428.2
Conceded per game22.922.2
Home record6W 4L9W 2L
Away record5W 5L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Army spreadCoversFair
Army -18.534%+197
Army -14.543%+132
Army -11.551%-102
Army -8.558%-138
Army -4.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
46.567%33%
50.558%42%
53.550%50%
56.543%57%
60.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Army +3.5 wins if Army win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
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Questions people ask

Who will win East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights?

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 21.0 and Army Black Knights 32.7. Our best bet is Army to win at -345.

What is the projected score for East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights?

We project East Carolina Pirates 21.0 and Army Black Knights 32.7, about 53.7 points in total.

How are Army Black Knights playing?

Army Black Knights have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 549 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 564 points scored and 444 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Army Black Knights and East Carolina Pirates last met?

It ended East Carolina Pirates 28, Army Black Knights 6. In the last 1 meeting Army Black Knights won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1.

What is the best bet for East Carolina Pirates vs Army Black Knights?

Army to win at -345, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Army against East Carolina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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