Predictions › United States › East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 13:00 United States time

East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers prediction

Jerry Richardson Stadium

East Carolina PiratesAway
35.5 : 25.2
projected points
Charlotte 49ersHome
75%East Carolina
25%Charlotte
Eagle safe pickEast Carolina to win
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 75% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 35.5 and Charlotte 49ers 25.2. Our best bet is East Carolina to win at -308.

Prediction
East Carolina Pirates to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
East Carolina Pirates 35, Charlotte 49ers 25
Projected total
60.7 points
Best bet
East Carolina to win at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

East Carolina to win
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Charlotte to win
25% chanceFair price +2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Charlotte 49ers 25% and East Carolina Pirates 75%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Charlotte 49ers won 1 of their last 5 and East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5. East Carolina Pirates come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Charlotte 49ers won 1 of their last 9 games at home. East Carolina Pirates won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Charlotte 49ers score 17.9 points a game and let in 39.1. East Carolina Pirates score 28.6 and let in 22.5. Their recent games average 57.1 and 51.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Charlotte 49ers won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1. The last one ended East Carolina Pirates 48, Charlotte 49ers 22.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    East Carolina to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers: East Carolina Pirates are favourites

The big picture

Charlotte 49ers host East Carolina Pirates in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 13:00 at Jerry Richardson Stadium. Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 75% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 35.5 and Charlotte 49ers 25.2. Our best bet is East Carolina to win at -308.

Charlotte 49ers form

Charlotte 49ers have 2 wins and 16 losses in their last 18 games, with 323 points scored and 704 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 544 points scored and 427 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Charlotte 49ers won 0, East Carolina Pirates won 1. Last time out it finished East Carolina Pirates 48, Charlotte 49ers 22.

Our call

We expect East Carolina Pirates to score about 35.5 points and Charlotte 49ers about 25.2. That points to East Carolina Pirates to win. Our safest bet is East Carolina to win at -308. Our bold bet is Charlotte to win at +295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

CharlotteEast Carolina
Games played1819
Wins212
Losses167
Points scored323544
Points conceded704427
Scored per game17.928.6
Conceded per game39.122.5
Home record1W 8L8W 2L
Away record1W 8L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Charlotte spreadCoversFair
Charlotte +3.534%+197
Charlotte +7.543%+131
Charlotte +10.551%-103
Charlotte +13.558%-139
Charlotte +17.568%-208
Total pointsOverUnder
53.567%33%
57.558%42%
60.551%49%
63.543%57%
67.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Charlotte +3.5 wins if Charlotte win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers?

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 75% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 35.5 and Charlotte 49ers 25.2. Our best bet is East Carolina to win at -308.

What is the projected score for East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers?

We project East Carolina Pirates 35.5 and Charlotte 49ers 25.2, about 60.7 points in total.

How are Charlotte 49ers playing?

Charlotte 49ers have 2 wins and 16 losses in their last 18 games, with 323 points scored and 704 conceded. At home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 544 points scored and 427 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Charlotte 49ers and East Carolina Pirates last met?

It ended East Carolina Pirates 48, Charlotte 49ers 22. In the last 1 meeting Charlotte 49ers won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1.

What is the best bet for East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers?

East Carolina to win at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Charlotte against East Carolina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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