Predictions › United States › East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers
College FootballThu 22 Oct, 19:30 United States time

East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers prediction

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

East Carolina PiratesAway
23.4 : 32.2
projected points
Memphis TigersHome
26%East Carolina
74%Memphis
Eagle safe pickMemphis +1.5
-295

Quick answer

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 74% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 23.4 and Memphis Tigers 32.2. Our best bet is Memphis +1.5 at -295.

Prediction
Memphis Tigers to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
East Carolina Pirates 23, Memphis Tigers 32
Projected total
55.5 points
Best bet
Memphis +1.5 at -295

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Memphis +1.5
75% chanceFair price -2951 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

East Carolina to win
27% chanceFair price +2751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Tigers 74% and East Carolina Pirates 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Tigers won 4 of their last 5 and East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5. Memphis Tigers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Tigers won 6 of their last 8 games at home. East Carolina Pirates won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Tigers score 33.5 points a game and let in 23.5. East Carolina Pirates score 29.8 and let in 21.7. Their recent games average 57.1 and 51.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Memphis Tigers won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1. The last one ended East Carolina Pirates 31, Memphis Tigers 27.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Memphis +1.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Memphisrest between games-2%
  • East Carolinarest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers: Memphis Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Memphis Tigers host East Carolina Pirates in the College Football on Thu 22 Oct, 19:30 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 74% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 23.4 and Memphis Tigers 32.2. Our best bet is Memphis +1.5 at -295.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 570 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 476 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Memphis Tigers won 0, East Carolina Pirates won 1. Last time out it finished East Carolina Pirates 31, Memphis Tigers 27.

Our call

We expect East Carolina Pirates to score about 23.4 points and Memphis Tigers about 32.2. That points to Memphis Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Memphis +1.5 at -295. Our bold bet is East Carolina to win at +275.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

MemphisEast Carolina
Games played1716
Wins1111
Losses65
Points scored570476
Points conceded400347
Scored per game33.529.8
Conceded per game23.521.7
Home record6W 2L7W 2L
Away record5W 4L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Memphis spreadCoversFair
Memphis -15.534%+196
Memphis -11.543%+131
Memphis -8.551%-103
Memphis -5.558%-139
Memphis -1.568%-209
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.558%42%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Memphis +3.5 wins if Memphis win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 74% chance. We project East Carolina Pirates 23.4 and Memphis Tigers 32.2. Our best bet is Memphis +1.5 at -295.

What is the projected score for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?

We project East Carolina Pirates 23.4 and Memphis Tigers 32.2, about 55.5 points in total.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 570 points scored and 400 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 11 wins and 5 losses in their last 16 games, with 476 points scored and 347 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Tigers and East Carolina Pirates last met?

It ended East Carolina Pirates 31, Memphis Tigers 27. In the last 1 meeting Memphis Tigers won 0 and East Carolina Pirates won 1.

What is the best bet for East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers?

Memphis +1.5 at -295, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Memphis against East Carolina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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