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Predictions › United States › East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers
College FootballThu 15 Oct, 19:30 United States time

East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers prediction

Protective Stadium

East Carolina PiratesAway
25.3 : 26.4
projected points
UAB BlazersHome
51%East Carolina
49%UAB
Eagle safe pickEast Carolina +11.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project East Carolina Pirates 25.3 and UAB Blazers 26.4. Our best bet is East Carolina +11.5 at -308.

Prediction
East Carolina Pirates to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
East Carolina Pirates 25, UAB Blazers 26
Projected total
51.7 points
Best bet
East Carolina +11.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

East Carolina +11.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

East Carolina to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UAB Blazers 49% and East Carolina Pirates 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UAB Blazers won 3 of their last 5 and East Carolina Pirates won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UAB Blazers won 5 of their last 8 games at home. East Carolina Pirates won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    UAB Blazers score 24.1 points a game and let in 33.1. East Carolina Pirates score 29.9 and let in 22.3. Their recent games average 57.1 and 52.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    East Carolina +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UABrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers: East Carolina Pirates shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UAB Blazers host East Carolina Pirates in the College Football on Thu 15 Oct, 19:30 at Protective Stadium. Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project East Carolina Pirates 25.3 and UAB Blazers 26.4. Our best bet is East Carolina +11.5 at -308.

UAB Blazers form

UAB Blazers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 361 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

East Carolina Pirates form

East Carolina Pirates have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 448 points scored and 335 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect East Carolina Pirates to score about 25.3 points and UAB Blazers about 26.4. That points to East Carolina Pirates to win. Our safest bet is East Carolina +11.5 at -308. Our bold bet is East Carolina to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UABEast Carolina
Games played1515
Wins610
Losses95
Points scored361448
Points conceded496335
Scored per game24.129.9
Conceded per game33.122.3
Home record5W 3L6W 2L
Away record1W 6L4W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

UAB spreadCoversFair
UAB -8.532%+212
UAB -4.541%+141
UAB -1.549%+104
UAB +1.556%-129
UAB +5.566%-193
Total pointsOverUnder
44.567%33%
48.558%42%
51.551%49%
54.543%57%
58.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UAB +3.5 wins if UAB win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?

Our prediction for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers is East Carolina Pirates to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project East Carolina Pirates 25.3 and UAB Blazers 26.4. Our best bet is East Carolina +11.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?

We project East Carolina Pirates 25.3 and UAB Blazers 26.4, about 51.7 points in total.

How are UAB Blazers playing?

UAB Blazers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 361 points scored and 496 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are East Carolina Pirates playing?

East Carolina Pirates have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 448 points scored and 335 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for East Carolina Pirates vs UAB Blazers?

East Carolina +11.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UAB against East Carolina. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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