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Predictions › United States › Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 15:30 United States time

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction

Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Eastern Michigan EaglesAway
21.2 : 27.6
projected points
Massachusetts MinutemenHome
36%E Michigan
64%UMass
Eagle safe pickUMass to win
-198

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 64% chance. We project Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.2 and Massachusetts Minutemen 27.6. Our best bet is UMass to win at -198.

Prediction
Massachusetts Minutemen to win
Chance
64%
Projected score
Eastern Michigan Eagles 21, Massachusetts Minutemen 28
Projected total
48.8 points
Best bet
UMass to win at -198

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UMass to win
64% chancePrice -1981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Massachusetts Minutemen 64% and Eastern Michigan Eagles 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Massachusetts Minutemen the favourite at -198.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 4 of their last 5 and Eastern Michigan Eagles won 2 of their last 5. Massachusetts Minutemen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Massachusetts Minutemen won 2 of their last 6 games at home. Eastern Michigan Eagles won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Massachusetts Minutemen score 17.3 points a game and let in 31.8. Eastern Michigan Eagles score 22.3 and let in 27.5. Their recent games average 49.1 and 49.8 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UMass to win has a 64% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UMassrest between games-5%
  • E Michiganrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen: Massachusetts Minutemen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Massachusetts Minutemen host Eastern Michigan Eagles in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 15:30 at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Our prediction for Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 64% chance. We project Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.2 and Massachusetts Minutemen 27.6. Our best bet is UMass to win at -198.

Massachusetts Minutemen form

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 242 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Eastern Michigan Eagles form

Eastern Michigan Eagles have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 334 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eastern Michigan Eagles to score about 21.2 points and Massachusetts Minutemen about 27.6. That points to Massachusetts Minutemen to win. Our safest bet is UMass to win at -198.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

UMassE Michigan
Games played1415
Wins46
Losses109
Points scored242334
Points conceded445413
Scored per game17.322.3
Conceded per game31.827.5
Home record2W 4L5W 3L
Away record2W 6L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
UMass to win64%-176-198-4.1%
E Michigan to win33%+199+164-11.8%
UMass -5.549%+103-105-3.9%
E Michigan +5.545%+125-115-16.7%
Over 48.5 points48%+110-110-9.2%
Under 48.5 points46%+116-110-11.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

UMass spreadCoversFair
UMass -13.533%+204
UMass -9.542%+136
UMass -6.550%+101
UMass -3.557%-134
UMass +0.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
41.568%32%
45.558%42%
48.551%49%
51.543%57%
55.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. UMass +3.5 wins if UMass win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

Our prediction for Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen is Massachusetts Minutemen to win, with a 64% chance. We project Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.2 and Massachusetts Minutemen 27.6. Our best bet is UMass to win at -198.

What is the projected score for Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

We project Eastern Michigan Eagles 21.2 and Massachusetts Minutemen 27.6, about 48.8 points in total.

How are Massachusetts Minutemen playing?

Massachusetts Minutemen have 4 wins and 10 losses in their last 14 games, with 242 points scored and 445 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Eastern Michigan Eagles playing?

Eastern Michigan Eagles have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 334 points scored and 413 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eastern Michigan Eagles vs Massachusetts Minutemen?

UMass to win at -198, with a 64% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UMass against E Michigan. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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