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Predictions › United Kingdom › Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town prediction

Silverlake Stadium

EastleighHome
1.77 : 1.53
expected goals
Shrewsbury TownAway
43%Eastleigh
24%Draw
33%Shrewsbury
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town is Eastleigh to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Eastleigh to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eastleigh 1.8, Shrewsbury Town 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eastleigh to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 9/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eastleigh 43%, the draw 24% and Shrewsbury Town 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eastleigh took 0 points from their last 1 games and Shrewsbury Town took 7 from 5. Shrewsbury Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Eastleigh score 0.0 goals a game and let in 3.0. Shrewsbury Town score 1.4 and let in 2.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of Eastleigh games and 4 of Shrewsbury Town games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eastleighrecent form-1%
  • Shrewsburyrecent form+1%
  • Eastleighrest between games-3%
  • Shrewsburyrest between games-3%
Eastleigh form D W L L DShrewsbury form D D W W LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town: Eastleigh shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eastleigh host Shrewsbury Town in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Silverlake Stadium. Our prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town is Eastleigh to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Eastleigh form

Eastleigh have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

Shrewsbury Town form

Shrewsbury Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eastleigh to score about 1.8 goals and Shrewsbury Town about 1.5. That points to Eastleigh to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Eastleigh to win and Over 2.5 at 9/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 5 games in all competitions.

EastleighShrewsbury
Games played15
Wins02
Draws01
Losses12
Goals scored07
Goals conceded313
Scored per game0.01.4
Conceded per game3.02.6
Home record0W 0D 1Ln/a
Away recordn/a2W 1D 2L
Clean sheets0%0%
Both teams scored0%80%
Over 2.5 goals100%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%2/11
Over 2.5 goals64%4/7
Over 3.5 goals42%11/8
Both teams to score66%8/15
Eastleigh or Draw67%1/2
Shrewsbury Town or Draw57%8/11
Eastleigh to win and Over 2.531%11/5
Shrewsbury Town to win and Over 2.523%10/3
Eastleigh clean sheet22%7/2
Shrewsbury Town clean sheet17%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%
2-18.9%
1-27.6%
2-26.8%
1-05.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town?

Our prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town is Eastleigh to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Eastleigh to score 1.8 goals and Shrewsbury Town 1.5.

Will both teams score in Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 0 of Eastleigh last 1 games and 4 of Shrewsbury Town last 5.

How are Eastleigh playing?

Eastleigh have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 1 results read L, newest first.

How are Shrewsbury Town playing?

Shrewsbury Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 13 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eastleigh vs Shrewsbury Town?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eastleigh against Shrewsbury. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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