Predictions › United States › Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks
NHLWed 7 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

Honda Center

Edmonton OilersAway
3.6 : 3.4
projected goals
Anaheim DucksHome
57%Oilers
43%Ducks
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-444

Quick answer

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.6 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -444.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Edmonton Oilers 4, Anaheim Ducks 3
Projected total
7.0 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -444

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
82% chanceFair price -4442 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ducks to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Anaheim Ducks 43% and Edmonton Oilers 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Anaheim Ducks won 1 of their last 5 and Edmonton Oilers won 4 of their last 5. Edmonton Oilers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Anaheim Ducks won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Edmonton Oilers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Anaheim Ducks score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.7. Edmonton Oilers score 3.3 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 4 and Edmonton Oilers won 1. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 5, Edmonton Oilers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ducksrest between games-5%
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks: Edmonton Oilers shade it

The big picture

Anaheim Ducks host Edmonton Oilers in the NHL on Wed 7 Oct, 22:00 at Honda Center. Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.6 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -444.

Anaheim Ducks form

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Anaheim Ducks won 4, Edmonton Oilers won 1. Last time out it finished Anaheim Ducks 5, Edmonton Oilers 2.

Our call

We expect Edmonton Oilers to score about 3.6 goals and Anaheim Ducks about 3.4. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -444. Our bold bet is Ducks to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

DucksOilers
Games played2020
Wins912
Losses118
Goals scored6366
Goals conceded7453
Scored per game3.13.3
Conceded per game3.72.6
Home record6W 4L8W 3L
Away record3W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Ducks spreadCoversFair
Ducks -0.538%+162
Ducks +0.555%-121
Ducks +1.570%-237
Total goalsOverUnder
5.574%26%
6.558%42%
7.541%59%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks?

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.6 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -444.

What is the projected score for Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks?

We project Edmonton Oilers 3.6 and Anaheim Ducks 3.4, about 7.0 goals in total.

How are Anaheim Ducks playing?

Anaheim Ducks have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 63 goals scored and 74 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Anaheim Ducks and Edmonton Oilers last met?

It ended Anaheim Ducks 5, Edmonton Oilers 2. In the last 5 meetings Anaheim Ducks won 4 and Edmonton Oilers won 1.

What is the best bet for Edmonton Oilers vs Anaheim Ducks?

Over 5 goals at -444, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ducks against Oilers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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