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Predictions › United States › Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLThu 19 Nov, 19:30 United States time

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Benchmark International Arena

Edmonton OilersAway
3.2 : 3.1
projected goals
Tampa Bay LightningHome
55%Oilers
45%Lightning
Eagle safe pickLightning +2
-446

Quick answer

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.2 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.1. Our best bet is Lightning +2 at -446.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
55%
Projected score
Edmonton Oilers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Lightning +2 at -446

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Lightning +2
82% chanceFair price -4462 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 45% and Edmonton Oilers 55%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 of their last 5 and Edmonton Oilers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Edmonton Oilers won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Lightning score 3.5 goals a game and let in 3.1. Edmonton Oilers score 4.1 and let in 2.9. Their recent games average 6.7 and 7.0 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 and Edmonton Oilers won 0. The last one ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Lightning +2 has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Edmonton Oilers shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Lightning host Edmonton Oilers in the NHL on Thu 19 Nov, 19:30 at Benchmark International Arena. Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.2 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.1. Our best bet is Lightning +2 at -446.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 82 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tampa Bay Lightning won 2, Edmonton Oilers won 0. Last time out it finished Edmonton Oilers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5.

Our call

We expect Edmonton Oilers to score about 3.2 goals and Tampa Bay Lightning about 3.1. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Lightning +2 at -446.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LightningOilers
Games played2020
Wins1214
Losses86
Goals scored7182
Goals conceded6357
Scored per game3.54.1
Conceded per game3.12.9
Home record8W 1L7W 5L
Away record4W 7L7W 1L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lightning spreadCoversFair
Lightning -0.540%+149
Lightning +0.557%-131
Lightning +1.572%-257
Total goalsOverUnder
5.563%37%
6.545%55%
7.529%71%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lightning +3.5 wins if Lightning win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NHL

Edmonton Makes History by Dressing Emergency Backup Brett Epp

The Edmonton Oilers made NHL history on Thursday by dressing Brett Epp as a full time emergency backup goalie against Anaheim.

6 Nov 2026
NHL

Kucherov Sets Up Two Goals in Lightning Victory After Trade Request

Nikita Kucherov recorded two assists as the Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2 on Tuesday.

4 Nov 2026
NHL

Nikita Kucherov Requests Trade Away From Tampa Bay Lightning

Lightning star forward Nikita Kucherov has requested a trade after contract negotiations stalled on Friday.

31 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.2 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.1. Our best bet is Lightning +2 at -446.

What is the projected score for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

We project Edmonton Oilers 3.2 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.1, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 71 goals scored and 63 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 82 goals scored and 57 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Lightning and Edmonton Oilers last met?

It ended Edmonton Oilers 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5. In the last 2 meetings Tampa Bay Lightning won 2 and Edmonton Oilers won 0.

What is the best bet for Edmonton Oilers vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Lightning +2 at -446, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lightning against Oilers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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