Predictions › United States › Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks
NHLThu 1 Oct, 22:00 United States time

Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks prediction

Rogers Arena

Edmonton OilersAway
3.7 : 2.7
projected goals
Vancouver CanucksHome
67%Oilers
33%Canucks
Eagle safe pickOilers to win
-198

Quick answer

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.7 and Vancouver Canucks 2.7. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -198.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Edmonton Oilers 4, Vancouver Canucks 3
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Oilers to win at -198

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oilers to win
65% chancePrice -1981 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Canucks 33% and Edmonton Oilers 67%. The bookmakers agree and make Edmonton Oilers the favourite at -198.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Canucks won 1 of their last 5 and Edmonton Oilers won 4 of their last 5. Edmonton Oilers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Edmonton Oilers won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Vancouver Canucks score 2.6 goals a game and let in 4.1. Edmonton Oilers score 3.3 and let in 2.6. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.0 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Vancouver Canucks won 1 and Edmonton Oilers won 4. The last one ended Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Oilers to win has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Canucksrest between games-5%
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks: Edmonton Oilers are favourites

The big picture

Vancouver Canucks host Edmonton Oilers in the NHL on Thu 1 Oct, 22:00 at Rogers Arena. Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.7 and Vancouver Canucks 2.7. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -198.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Vancouver Canucks won 1, Edmonton Oilers won 4. Last time out it finished Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2.

Our call

We expect Edmonton Oilers to score about 3.7 goals and Vancouver Canucks about 2.7. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Oilers to win at -198.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CanucksOilers
Games played2020
Wins612
Losses148
Goals scored5366
Goals conceded8253
Scored per game2.63.3
Conceded per game4.12.6
Home record3W 7L8W 3L
Away record3W 7L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Canucks to win33%+205+164-13.3%
Oilers to win65%-184-198-2.5%
Canucks +1.555%-124-142-5.6%
Oilers -1.538%+161+120-15.7%
Over 6.5 goals46%+116-110-11.7%
Under 6.5 goals48%+111-110-9.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Canucks spreadCoversFair
Canucks -0.527%+273
Canucks +0.542%+138
Canucks +1.559%-141
Total goalsOverUnder
5.566%34%
6.549%51%
7.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Canucks +3.5 wins if Canucks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks?

Our prediction for Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 67% chance. We project Edmonton Oilers 3.7 and Vancouver Canucks 2.7. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -198.

What is the projected score for Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks?

We project Edmonton Oilers 3.7 and Vancouver Canucks 2.7, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Vancouver Canucks and Edmonton Oilers last met?

It ended Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2. In the last 5 meetings Vancouver Canucks won 1 and Edmonton Oilers won 4.

What is the best bet for Edmonton Oilers vs Vancouver Canucks?

Oilers to win at -198, with a 65% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Canucks against Oilers. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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