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Predictions › Conference League › Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland
Conference LeagueThu 15 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland prediction

Air Albania Stadium

EgnatiaHome
1.14 : 1.65
expected goals
FC MidtjyllandAway
26%Egnatia
26%Draw
49%Midtjylland
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Midtjylland to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Egnatia 1.1, FC Midtjylland 1.6
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.301 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Egnatia 26%, the draw 26% and FC Midtjylland 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Egnatiarecent form-1%
  • Midtjyllandrecent form+3%
Egnatia form L D W L DMidtjylland form D W D W DHome edge in this league 38% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland: FC Midtjylland are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Egnatia host FC Midtjylland in the Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 16:45 at Air Albania Stadium. Our prediction for Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Egnatia form

Egnatia have no recent games in our records yet.

FC Midtjylland form

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Egnatia to score about 1.1 goals and FC Midtjylland about 1.6. That points to FC Midtjylland to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.5 at 3.30.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EgnatiaMidtjylland
Games playedn/a20
Winsn/a8
Drawsn/a9
Lossesn/a3
Goals scoredn/a32
Goals concededn/a24
Scored per gamen/a1.6
Conceded per gamen/a1.2
Home recordn/a4W 3D 3L
Away recordn/a4W 6D 0L
Clean sheetsn/a20%
Both teams scoredn/a75%
Over 2.5 goalsn/a55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.89
Over 3.5 goals31%3.26
Both teams to score56%1.79
Egnatia or Draw51%1.95
FC Midtjylland or Draw74%1.34
Egnatia to win and Over 2.515%6.52
FC Midtjylland to win and Over 2.531%3.24
Egnatia clean sheet19%5.23
FC Midtjylland clean sheet32%3.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
1-29.5%
0-19.4%
0-28.4%
0-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland?

Our prediction for Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland is FC Midtjylland to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Egnatia to score 1.1 goals and FC Midtjylland 1.6.

Will both teams score in Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance.

How are FC Midtjylland playing?

FC Midtjylland have 8 wins, 9 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Egnatia vs FC Midtjylland?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Egnatia against Midtjylland. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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