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Predictions › Spain › Eibar vs Almería
LaLiga 2Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 Spain time

Eibar vs Almería prediction

Ipurua

EibarHome
1.50 : 1.21
expected goals
AlmeríaAway
43%Eibar
27%Draw
30%Almería
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eibar vs Almería is Eibar to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eibar 1.5, Almería 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eibar to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.941 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eibar 43%, the draw 27% and Almería 30%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eibar took 10 points from their last 5 games and Almería took 15 from 5. Almería come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eibar won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Almería won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eibar score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Almería score 1.8 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Eibar games and 11 of Almería games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eibar won 1 and Almería won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Eibar 1, Almería 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eibarrecent form+3%
  • Almeríarecent form+6%
Eibar form D L W W WAlmería form D W W W WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eibar vs Almería: Eibar shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eibar host Almería in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 31 Oct, 15:15 at Ipurua. Our prediction for Eibar vs Almería is Eibar to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Eibar form

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Almería form

Almería have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eibar won 1, Almería won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Eibar 1, Almería 0.

Our call

We expect Eibar to score about 1.5 goals and Almería about 1.2. That points to Eibar to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Eibar to win and Over 2.5 at 3.94.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EibarAlmería
Games played2020
Wins1312
Draws23
Losses55
Goals scored3636
Goals conceded2021
Scored per game1.81.8
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record6W 1D 2L8W 0D 2L
Away record7W 1D 3L4W 3D 3L
Clean sheets50%40%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.47
Both teams to score55%1.81
Eibar or Draw70%1.43
Almería or Draw57%1.76
Eibar to win and Over 2.527%3.77
Almería to win and Over 2.518%5.65
Eibar clean sheet30%3.35
Almería clean sheet22%4.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-09.2%
2-19.1%
2-07.5%
0-07.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eibar vs Almería?

Our prediction for Eibar vs Almería is Eibar to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Eibar vs Almería?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Eibar to score 1.5 goals and Almería 1.2.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Almería?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Eibar last 20 games and 10 of Almería last 20.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Almería playing?

Almería have 12 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Eibar and Almería last met?

It ended Eibar 1, Almería 0. In the last 2 meetings Eibar won 1 and Almería won 1.

What is the best bet for Eibar vs Almería?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eibar against Almería. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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