Predictions › Spain › Eibar vs Cádiz
LaLiga 2Sun 15 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Eibar vs Cádiz prediction

Ipurua

EibarHome
1.94 : 0.91
expected goals
CádizAway
61%Eibar
23%Draw
16%Cádiz
Eagle safe pickEibar or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eibar vs Cádiz is Eibar to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Eibar 1.9, Cádiz 0.9
Best bet
Eibar or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Eibar or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eibar to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eibar 61%, the draw 23% and Cádiz 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eibar took 5 points from their last 5 games and Cádiz took 6 from 5. Cádiz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eibar won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Cádiz won 0 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eibar score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Cádiz score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Eibar games and 11 of Cádiz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Eibar won 1 and Cádiz won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Eibar 3, Cádiz 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Eibar or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eibarrecent form-1%
  • Cádizrecent form-1%
  • Cádizrest between games-2%
Eibar form D L D L WCádiz form L W W L LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eibar vs Cádiz: Eibar are favourites

The big picture

Eibar host Cádiz in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 15 Nov, 17:30 at Ipurua. Our prediction for Eibar vs Cádiz is Eibar to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.20.

Eibar form

Eibar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Cádiz form

Cádiz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eibar won 1, Cádiz won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Eibar 3, Cádiz 1.

Our call

We expect Eibar to score about 1.9 goals and Cádiz about 0.9. That points to Eibar to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Eibar to win and Over 2.5 at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EibarCádiz
Games played2020
Wins113
Draws36
Losses611
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded2330
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.11.5
Home record5W 2D 2L3W 2D 6L
Away record6W 1D 4L0W 4D 5L
Clean sheets40%15%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.12
Both teams to score52%1.93
Eibar or Draw84%1.20
Cádiz or Draw39%2.56
Eibar to win and Over 2.539%2.53
Cádiz to win and Over 2.59%10.61
Eibar clean sheet40%2.49
Cádiz clean sheet14%6.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.9%
1-110.8%
1-010.6%
2-19.9%
3-07.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eibar vs Cádiz?

Our prediction for Eibar vs Cádiz is Eibar to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Eibar or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Eibar vs Cádiz?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Eibar to score 1.9 goals and Cádiz 0.9.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Cádiz?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Eibar last 20 games and 11 of Cádiz last 20.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Cádiz playing?

Cádiz have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Eibar and Cádiz last met?

It ended Eibar 3, Cádiz 1. In the last 2 meetings Eibar won 1 and Cádiz won 1.

What is the best bet for Eibar vs Cádiz?

Eibar or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eibar against Cádiz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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