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Predictions › Spain › Eibar vs Mallorca
LaLiga 2Sat 17 Oct, 14:15 Spain time

Eibar vs Mallorca prediction

Ipurua

EibarHome
1.26 : 0.63
expected goals
MallorcaAway
51%Eibar
31%Draw
18%Mallorca
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca is Eibar to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Eibar to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Eibar 1.3, Mallorca 0.6
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
34%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
18% chanceFair price 5.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eibar 51%, the draw 31% and Mallorca 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eibar took 15 points from their last 5 games and Mallorca took 8 from 5. Eibar come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eibar won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Mallorca won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eibar score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Mallorca score 1.3 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Eibar games and 9 of Mallorca games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eibarrecent form+7%
  • Mallorcarecent form+1%
  • Mallorcarest between games-2%
Eibar form W W W W WMallorca form D L W W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eibar vs Mallorca: Eibar are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eibar host Mallorca in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 17 Oct, 14:15 at Ipurua. Our prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca is Eibar to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Eibar form

Eibar have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Mallorca form

Mallorca have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eibar to score about 1.3 goals and Mallorca about 0.6. That points to Eibar to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EibarMallorca
Games played2020
Wins159
Draws15
Losses46
Goals scored3826
Goals conceded1718
Scored per game1.91.3
Conceded per game0.80.9
Home record7W 0D 2L7W 2D 1L
Away record8W 1D 2L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets55%45%
Both teams scored45%40%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals57%1.75
Over 2.5 goals29%3.41
Over 3.5 goals12%8.11
Both teams to score34%2.93
Eibar or Draw82%1.22
Mallorca or Draw49%2.04
Eibar to win and Over 2.521%4.85
Mallorca to win and Over 2.56%16.43
Eibar clean sheet53%1.88
Mallorca clean sheet28%3.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-018.3%
0-015.9%
1-112.7%
2-012.0%
0-18.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eibar vs Mallorca?

Our prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca is Eibar to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Eibar vs Mallorca?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Eibar to score 1.3 goals and Mallorca 0.6.

Will both teams score in Eibar vs Mallorca?

Both teams to score has a 34% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Eibar last 20 games and 8 of Mallorca last 20.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 15 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Mallorca playing?

Mallorca have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eibar vs Mallorca?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eibar against Mallorca. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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