Predictions › Germany › Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV

BundesligaSun 1 Nov, 16:30 Germany time

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV prediction

Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht FrankfurtHome

1.75 : 1.37

expected goals

Hamburg SVAway

46%Frankfurt

25%Draw

29%Hamburg

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.8, Hamburg SV 1.4
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.211 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 46%, the draw 25% and Hamburg SV 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Eintracht Frankfurt took 7 points from their last 5 games and Hamburg SV took 9 from 5. Hamburg SV come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Eintracht Frankfurt won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Hamburg SV won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.8. Hamburg SV score 1.3 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt games and 13 of Hamburg SV games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and Hamburg SV won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, Hamburg SV 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Frankfurtrecent form-1%

Frankfurt form D L D W LHamburg form D W W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV: Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eintracht Frankfurt host Hamburg SV in the Bundesliga on Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 at Deutsche Bank Park. Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Hamburg SV form

Hamburg SV have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Eintracht Frankfurt won 0, Hamburg SV won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1, Hamburg SV 2.

Our call

We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score about 1.8 goals and Hamburg SV about 1.4. That points to Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5 at 3.21.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Frankfurt	Hamburg
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	4
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	31	25
Goals conceded	36	40
Scored per game	1.6	1.3
Conceded per game	1.8	2.0
Home record	4W 3D 3L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	5%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	82%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	60%	1.66
Over 3.5 goals	38%	2.64
Both teams to score	62%	1.61
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw	71%	1.42
Hamburg SV or Draw	54%	1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5	32%	3.12
Hamburg SV to win and Over 2.5	20%	5.02
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet	25%	3.93
Hamburg SV clean sheet	17%	5.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%

2-19.3%

1-27.2%

1-07.1%

2-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV?

Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score 1.8 goals and Hamburg SV 1.4.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20 games and 14 of Hamburg SV last 20.

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

How are Hamburg SV playing?

What happened when Eintracht Frankfurt and Hamburg SV last met?

It ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, Hamburg SV 2. In the last 2 meetings Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and Hamburg SV won 1.

What is the best bet for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Frankfurt against Hamburg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.