Predictions › Germany › Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim

BundesligaSat 21 Nov, 14:30 Germany time

Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht FrankfurtHome

1.68 : 1.50

expected goals

TSG HoffenheimAway

42%Frankfurt

25%Draw

34%Hoffenheim

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt to win
Chance: 42%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.7, TSG Hoffenheim 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.212 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5

29% chanceFair price 3.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 42%, the draw 25% and TSG Hoffenheim 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Eintracht Frankfurt the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Eintracht Frankfurt took 7 points from their last 5 games and TSG Hoffenheim took 10 from 5. TSG Hoffenheim come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Eintracht Frankfurt won 4 of their last 10 games at home. TSG Hoffenheim won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Eintracht Frankfurt score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.8. TSG Hoffenheim score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt games and 16 of TSG Hoffenheim games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and TSG Hoffenheim won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, TSG Hoffenheim 3.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Frankfurtrecent form+3%

Frankfurt form D W W L WHoffenheim form W D L L WHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim: Eintracht Frankfurt shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eintracht Frankfurt host TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 at Deutsche Bank Park. Our prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim is Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21.

Eintracht Frankfurt form

Eintracht Frankfurt have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Eintracht Frankfurt won 0, TSG Hoffenheim won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1, TSG Hoffenheim 3.

Our call

We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score about 1.7 goals and TSG Hoffenheim about 1.5. That points to Eintracht Frankfurt to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5 at 3.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Frankfurt	Hoffenheim
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	8
Draws	7	3
Losses	7	9
Goals scored	30	33
Goals conceded	36	36
Scored per game	1.5	1.6
Conceded per game	1.8	1.8
Home record	4W 3D 3L	6W 1D 4L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Eintracht Frankfurt to win	40%	2.49	2.30	-7.5%
A Draw	24%	4.15	3.60	-13.3%
TSG Hoffenheim to win	33%	3.01	2.55	-15.4%
Over 3.5 goals	44%	2.27	1.83	-19.1%
Under 3.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.83	-10.3%
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5	40%	2.50	2.20	-11.9%
TSG Hoffenheim +0.5	53%	1.89	1.54	-18.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.63
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.55
Both teams to score	64%	1.57
Eintracht Frankfurt or Draw	66%	1.51
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw	58%	1.71
Eintracht Frankfurt to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.42
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5	23%	4.26
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet	22%	4.47
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet	19%	5.35

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%

2-18.8%

1-27.9%

2-26.6%

1-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

What is the score prediction for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Eintracht Frankfurt to score 1.7 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 1.5.

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Eintracht Frankfurt last 20 games and 14 of TSG Hoffenheim last 20.

How are Eintracht Frankfurt playing?

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

What happened when Eintracht Frankfurt and TSG Hoffenheim last met?

It ended Eintracht Frankfurt 1, TSG Hoffenheim 3. In the last 1 meeting Eintracht Frankfurt won 0 and TSG Hoffenheim won 1.

What is the best bet for Eintracht Frankfurt vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Frankfurt against Hoffenheim. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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