Predictions › Spain › Elche vs Real Betis

LaLigaSun 8 Nov, 13:00 Spain time

Elche vs Real Betis prediction

Estadio Martínez Valero

ElcheHome

1.34 : 1.62

expected goals

Real BetisAway

31%Elche

26%Draw

43%Betis

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Elche vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: Real Betis to win
Chance: 43%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Elche 1.3, Real Betis 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Real Betis to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Elche 31%, the draw 26% and Real Betis 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Betis the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Elche took 8 points from their last 5 games and Real Betis took 10 from 5. Real Betis come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Elche won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Real Betis won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Elche score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Real Betis score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Elche games and 12 of Real Betis games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Elche won 0 and Real Betis won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Betis 2, Elche 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Elcherecent form+3%
Betisrecent form+3%

Elche form D W D D WBetis form D W L W WHome edge in this league 35% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Elche vs Real Betis: Real Betis shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Elche host Real Betis in the LaLiga on Sun 8 Nov, 13:00 at Estadio Martínez Valero. Our prediction for Elche vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Elche form

Elche have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Real Betis form

Real Betis have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Elche won 0, Real Betis won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Betis 2, Elche 1.

Our call

We expect Elche to score about 1.3 goals and Real Betis about 1.6. That points to Real Betis to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Real Betis to win and Over 2.5 at 3.54.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Elche	Betis
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	13
Draws	6	4
Losses	7	3
Goals scored	27	37
Goals conceded	29	28
Scored per game	1.4	1.9
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	4W 2D 3L	9W 1D 1L
Away record	3W 4D 4L	4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	35%
Both teams scored	65%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Elche to win	30%	3.33	3.05	-8.3%
A Draw	25%	3.99	3.65	-8.5%
Real Betis to win	42%	2.36	2.10	-11.2%
Over 2.5 goals	52%	1.94	1.65	-15.0%
Under 2.5 goals	42%	2.37	2.15	-9.4%
Elche +0.5	51%	1.97	1.65	-16.6%
Real Betis -0.5	43%	2.32	2.00	-13.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	80%	1.25
Over 2.5 goals	57%	1.76
Over 3.5 goals	34%	2.90
Both teams to score	60%	1.67
Elche or Draw	57%	1.77
Real Betis or Draw	69%	1.45
Elche to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.98
Real Betis to win and Over 2.5	29%	3.45
Elche clean sheet	20%	5.07
Real Betis clean sheet	26%	3.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%

1-29.1%

0-17.7%

2-17.5%

0-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Elche vs Real Betis?

Our prediction for Elche vs Real Betis is Real Betis to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Elche vs Real Betis?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Elche to score 1.3 goals and Real Betis 1.6.

Will both teams score in Elche vs Real Betis?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Elche last 20 games and 13 of Real Betis last 20.

How are Elche playing?

How are Real Betis playing?

What happened when Elche and Real Betis last met?

It ended Real Betis 2, Elche 1. In the last 1 meeting Elche won 0 and Real Betis won 1.

What is the best bet for Elche vs Real Betis?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Elche against Betis. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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