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Predictions › Spain › Eldense vs CD Sabadell
LaLiga 2Sun 15 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Eldense vs CD Sabadell prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

EldenseHome
1.25 : 0.88
expected goals
CD SabadellAway
44%Eldense
31%Draw
25%CD Sabadell
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.21

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eldense vs CD Sabadell is Eldense to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Prediction
Eldense to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Eldense 1.3, CD Sabadell 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.21
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.212 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.141 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eldense 44%, the draw 31% and CD Sabadell 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eldense took 9 points from their last 5 games and CD Sabadell took 5 from 5. Eldense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eldense won 2 of their last 6 games at home. CD Sabadell won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eldense score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. CD Sabadell score 1.0 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Eldense games and 4 of CD Sabadell games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eldenserecent form+1%
  • CD Sabadellrecent form-1%
Eldense form L W L W WCD Sabadell form L D L W DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eldense vs CD Sabadell: Eldense shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eldense host CD Sabadell in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 15 Nov, 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat. Our prediction for Eldense vs CD Sabadell is Eldense to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

Eldense form

Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

CD Sabadell form

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eldense to score about 1.3 goals and CD Sabadell about 0.9. That points to Eldense to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.14.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

EldenseCD Sabadell
Games played1212
Wins44
Draws25
Losses63
Goals scored1312
Goals conceded1711
Scored per game1.11.0
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record2W 2D 2L3W 2D 0L
Away record2W 0D 4L1W 3D 3L
Clean sheets17%33%
Both teams scored42%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%33%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.77
Over 3.5 goals17%5.93
Both teams to score43%2.34
Eldense or Draw75%1.34
CD Sabadell or Draw56%1.79
Eldense to win and Over 2.521%4.79
CD Sabadell to win and Over 2.511%9.01
Eldense clean sheet41%2.42
CD Sabadell clean sheet29%3.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.0%
1-113.8%
0-012.6%
0-19.6%
2-09.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eldense vs CD Sabadell?

Our prediction for Eldense vs CD Sabadell is Eldense to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.21.

What is the score prediction for Eldense vs CD Sabadell?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Eldense to score 1.3 goals and CD Sabadell 0.9.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs CD Sabadell?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Eldense last 12 games and 6 of CD Sabadell last 12.

How are Eldense playing?

Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 12 games, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are CD Sabadell playing?

CD Sabadell have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 12 games, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eldense vs CD Sabadell?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.21, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eldense against CD Sabadell. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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