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Predictions › Spain › Eldense vs Córdoba
LaLiga 2Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Eldense vs Córdoba prediction

Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

EldenseHome
1.59 : 1.52
expected goals
CórdobaAway
39%Eldense
25%Draw
36%Córdoba
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Eldense vs Córdoba is Eldense to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Eldense to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Eldense 1.6, Córdoba 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
63%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Eldense to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Eldense 39%, the draw 25% and Córdoba 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Eldense took 4 points from their last 5 games and Córdoba took 3 from 5. Eldense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Eldense won 0 of their last 3 games at home. Córdoba won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Eldense score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Córdoba score 1.3 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Eldense games and 13 of Córdoba games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Eldenserecent form-3%
  • Córdobarecent form-4%
Eldense form L L W D LCórdoba form L W L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Eldense vs Córdoba: Eldense shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Eldense host Córdoba in the LaLiga 2 on Sat 10 Oct, 16:30 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat. Our prediction for Eldense vs Córdoba is Eldense to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Eldense form

Eldense have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

Córdoba form

Córdoba have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Eldense to score about 1.6 goals and Córdoba about 1.5. That points to Eldense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Eldense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

EldenseCórdoba
Games played720
Wins18
Draws22
Losses410
Goals scored426
Goals conceded936
Scored per game0.61.3
Conceded per game1.31.8
Home record0W 2D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record1W 0D 3L4W 0D 6L
Clean sheets29%10%
Both teams scored29%65%
Over 2.5 goals43%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%2.66
Both teams to score63%1.59
Eldense or Draw64%1.56
Córdoba or Draw61%1.64
Eldense to win and Over 2.527%3.73
Córdoba to win and Over 2.525%4.05
Eldense clean sheet22%4.57
Córdoba clean sheet20%4.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
2-26.5%
1-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Eldense vs Córdoba?

Our prediction for Eldense vs Córdoba is Eldense to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Eldense vs Córdoba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Eldense to score 1.6 goals and Córdoba 1.5.

Will both teams score in Eldense vs Córdoba?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 2 of Eldense last 7 games and 13 of Córdoba last 20.

How are Eldense playing?

Eldense have 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Córdoba playing?

Córdoba have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Eldense vs Córdoba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Eldense against Córdoba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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